stormtrack discord - 03-12-19_nm

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 02:56 PM

It has already begun

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 02:56 PM

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 02:56 PM

Arizona baby

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 02:57 PM

Major accident closed down highway 180

If anyone is headed out of lamesa

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 03:01 PM

news lady called that a cold air funnel - looks more impressive than that

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 03:06 PM

18z HRRR rolling out

1

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 03:08 PM

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 03:09 PM

It isnt that bad really, that supercell persists for 3 hours in a good environment

4

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 03:09 PM

Yeah

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 03:11 PM

that QLCS is gonna do things too. Not sure how many tornadoes will end up confirmed due to the fact that NM is bare, but it will produce some

2

3

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 03:11 PM

Rip

That's an old screenshot

just remembering what could've been

2

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 03:14 PM

Boy this fog north of Roswell ain't quitting anytime soon

312will 12-Mar-19 03:15 PM

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 03:16 PM

I dont think it ever truly lifts

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:17 PM

It’s getting better.. slowly. Still 3 hours to clear up but we gon see

312will 12-Mar-19 03:20 PM

I feel like they're testing missiles on NM 167. Fortunately in a F250, thanks be to the gods, the old and the new.

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 03:21 PM

Some sun patches now between the densest patches

8

Good sign

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:22 PM

Yep!

readyletsgo 12-Mar-19 03:27 PM

back up, great emote or greatest emote?

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 03:28 PM

this is the greatest emote

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:28 PM

Nope this is way better

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 03:29 PM

Nah, this is

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 03:29 PM

nahhhh

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 03:29 PM

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:29 PM

1

312will 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

Syryquil 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

yt-ScienceOutThere 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

Quality

WeathermanEd (Chicago) 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

Guys we all know the greatest emote

Syryquil 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

I love all of our emotes equally

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 03:32 PM

6

1

6

John Choquette (Edmond, OK) 12-Mar-19 03:36 PM

4

ryan hearne 12-Mar-19 03:37 PM

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:37 PM

This place is going well I see

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 03:38 PM

https://twitter.com/mikeolbinski/status/1105542932008886273?s=12

Mike Olbinski (@MikeOlbinski)

HOLY https://t.co/E1jshguBHZ

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 03:45 PM

https://twitter.com/tempestchasing/status/1105553821713993728?s=21

Kelton Halbert (@tempestchasing)

Well, looks like the TTU WRF and the HRRR agree! Really wish I could be out there. If flights to Amarillo had just been a little bit cheaper...

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 03:45 PM

Jesus lmao

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 03:46 PM

some storms have gone up way up by clovis

HRRR has also been overdoing dews

60s dews still not to carlsbad

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 03:47 PM

New spc in 10 minutes will be a marginal risk

3

ryan hearne 12-Mar-19 03:49 PM

General tstorm**

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:50 PM

no thunder

312will 12-Mar-19 03:50 PM

Unless there's clearing, only way anyone will see anything in this soup is if they're within 200 yards of it.

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 03:50 PM

I miss see text

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:52 PM

See text was the GOT

GOAT

312will 12-Mar-19 03:52 PM

5

4

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:52 PM

FOGGY

Weathernerd645 12-Mar-19 03:53 PM

that is the weather i want to see right before tornadoes

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 03:53 PM

Yea I'm really questioning my decision lol

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 03:53 PM

Fog is a sign

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:55 PM

Damn lol

2% tor lo lololol

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:56 PM

2%? Wow SPC is hyping this up

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:56 PM

Jk

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 03:56 PM

15% HATCHED

3

5

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 03:56 PM

Same 10%

Lol: “no change was made to the previous outlook”

Sick discussion bro

Guess SPC doesn’t overreact to HRRR forecasts

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 03:58 PM

It’s foggy here in Sanderson tx may try Pecos tx

Been driving all day any updates I see SPC is sticking to the same forecast

readyletsgo 12-Mar-19 04:01 PM

see text:

BUST

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 04:01 PM

No changes. 10% unhatched in NM/TX

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 04:03 PM

Yeah I’m right by fort Stockton so I’m in the middle of the 10% not feeling particularly confident in seeing an isolated supercell today

312will 12-Mar-19 04:05 PM

Same in Carlsbad. No clearing on the lee side of the mountains.

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 04:06 PM

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:07 PM

Just noticed this

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 04:07 PM

yeah I like that

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 04:07 PM

go red dot go

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:08 PM

booooo android

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 04:10 PM

I dont think that storm is surface based

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:11 PM

Yeah, idk

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 04:11 PM

Clovis = elevates

Elevated

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:11 PM

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 04:12 PM

ayyy

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 04:12 PM

very large hail (edited)

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:12 PM

80% chance of watch

DISCUSSION...Thick cloud cover and fog which has limited low-level heating for much of the day has started to dissipate over the last few hours everywhere except southeast New Mexico. These cloud breaks have allowed surface temperatures to increase into the mid 60s. In addition to surface heating, gulf moisture has advected northwestward through the day with surface dewpoints in the low 60s near the New Mexico border. This has led to MLCAPE around 1500 J/kg in southeast New Mexico extending southward toward Big Bend National Park. A bit more surface heating may be possible before storm initiation, but low-to-mid level ascent has already started to arrive and storm initiation is likely soon.

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:12 PM

LET THERE BE RED

10

Jdbeesonwx 12-Mar-19 04:13 PM

I remember that highway

@453Braxton

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:13 PM

The 18Z MAF sounding showed a favorable wind profile with deep layer shear around 50 knots and effective SRH around 275 m2/s2. This wind profile is expected to become even more favorable into the early evening with 700mb flow strengthening from 35 knots to near 60 knots after 00Z and effective SRH increasing above 500 m2/s2. The biggest question will be whether isolated supercells can develop ahead of the Pacific front this afternoon. The HRRR continues to develop a few isolated storms in southeast New Mexico this afternoon with surface temperatures near 70 degrees. If isolated supercells do develop in this environment, the thermodynamic and kinematic environment will be extremely favorable for tornadoes. However, quick storm motion may quickly take storms out of the better instability which may limit the opportunity for low-level mesocyclone organization within this favorable environment. Farther south into the Trans Pecos (where GOES16 visible imagery shows a thickening cumulus field), if any storms can develop they will remain in better instability for a longer period after initiation, making the threat for tornadoes more likely. However, the threat for isolated storms ahead of the Pacific front in this area appears less likely as the better forcing remains farther north.

2

ryan hearne 12-Mar-19 04:14 PM

"If isolated supercells do develop in this environment, the thermodynamic and kinematic environment will be extremely favorable for tornadoes."

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:14 PM

Got some merging going on

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 04:16 PM

very nice

I see bubbles

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:17 PM

BUBBLES

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 04:17 PM

on satellite

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:22 PM

Is this multiple small updrafts, or one large one?

I assume battling updrafts

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 04:24 PM

None of the above

You’re looking at low elevation. That’s just the size of the raindrops

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 04:25 PM

Ah ok

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:27 PM

gotta look at the various tilts to see if the fat raindrop size continues with height, suggesting an updraft... yeah? its been a while for me, i feel rusty as hell with everything

312will 12-Mar-19 04:28 PM

+2 hours on SPC Mesoscale Analysis

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:30 PM

lol that lcl

man, i dont recognize like any of the SN dots except ryan darr since hes on here

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 04:36 PM

61/61 in SE NM

Jon 12-Mar-19 04:37 PM

sounds moist

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 04:40 PM

Haven't seen a sun break since well north of Roswell :(

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 04:40 PM

#earlyseason

312will 12-Mar-19 04:41 PM

Cap seems like it's relaxing around Carlsbad but not broken. Clouds have some gaps but also not broken. I see semi clearing on satellite to the south.

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 04:41 PM

But temp is rising on approach to artesia

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 04:49 PM

If I went, this was my target area. Between Balmorhea and Fort Stockton, TX.

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 04:58 PM

Need CI soonly

Jon 12-Mar-19 05:00 PM

its over, all over

312will 12-Mar-19 05:00 PM

Still think something can pop near south of Carlsbad along the dryline bulge. It's also just 3pm lol.

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:00 PM

ya i keep forgetting the time difference

readyletsgo 12-Mar-19 05:00 PM

yeah that extra hour from DST coming in clutch rn

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:00 PM

mor peak heating

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 05:01 PM

The time zone does make a difference

I only said need CI soon bc of what is coming from the west

312will 12-Mar-19 05:01 PM

Yeah definitely

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:05 PM

wonder how the snow at Ruidoso is gonna fare with this squall line

Jon 12-Mar-19 05:06 PM

FIRST BOX! severe

3

2

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:09 PM

Ski Apache is about to get nailed

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:10 PM

Really need this fog in Fort Stockton to clear

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 05:11 PM

Is the giant road runner statue still a thing in ft stockton?

312will 12-Mar-19 05:13 PM

A lil bit of warmth and instability would go a long way

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:16 PM

Idk I didn’t see one lol

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:34 PM

Seems that there is some local backing in this region that’s where I’m heading just need some clearing and initialization

Tornado watch just went out

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 05:36 PM

no sign of initiation

312will 12-Mar-19 05:37 PM

https://twitter.com/NWSMidland/status/1105583117094608896?s=19

NWS Midland (@NWSMidland)

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of New Mexico and Texas until 11 PM CDT

3

4

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:39 PM

50/20 watch probs

I don't recall seeing alot of tor watches for big bend in the past

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 05:39 PM

Poop

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:39 PM

That’s not great pretty disappointed with those probs

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:40 PM

I'll admit, those are reasonable probs

This wasn't gonna be a huge event worthy of high probs

Garrod 12-Mar-19 05:40 PM

https://twitter.com/Norman_Wx/status/1105579289490149376

Norman Smith (@Norman_Wx)

https://t.co/VZ2o7S5rjM

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

but that's my meme lol

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

Did he steal your meme, Braxton?

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

Need one monster supercell to just go ahead and verify my outlook please

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

Were we expecting 80/50 probs?

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

Given the current conditions those probs are reasonable just disappointed with the setup currently

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

>95, >95

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

No, I shared it with him

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

too much fog

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

I am in a DM with him and few others

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

I’d like to see a supercell at least

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:41 PM

SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity from eastern New Mexico and spreading into southwest and west Texas. Supercells evolving into line segments with damaging wind are likely and a few tornadoes and large hail are also possible through the evening.

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 05:42 PM

Moisture looks good to me, honestly the surface temps aren't too bad either

unless we were expecting widespread 70s in SE NM

Radi K.(Houston TX) 12-Mar-19 05:43 PM

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 05:43 PM

69/60 at INK

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 05:44 PM

Where I am it’s 62-64 dewpoint sonI think that’s pretty damn good for March just waiting for supercells to initiate ahead of the line if that happens (edited)

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 05:52 PM

Dare someone to go after that segment near Dell city

Stebo 12-Mar-19 05:52 PM

those probabilities are fine, have to remember some of that is based upon verification as well, and there are some pretty desolate places in that watch

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 05:54 PM

HRRR still holding on to a little cell initiating near Carlsbad with the 21z run

Not sure im buying it at this stage

ThunderRolls 12-Mar-19 05:56 PM

Yea I’m going with a nada in the discrete department. If it were going to develop, I feel like it would’ve by now

312will 12-Mar-19 05:56 PM

My extraordinarily slim and dying hope

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:57 PM

looks like a guy named Greg is going after that area by Dell City - he actually joined the discord today also

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:57 PM

time

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 05:58 PM

At least we have a sqaull to chase

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 05:58 PM

could chase it all the way home

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 05:59 PM

Yeah, squalls can still be fun

Radi K.(Houston TX) 12-Mar-19 06:00 PM

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 06:01 PM

2

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:03 PM

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 06:04 PM

I mean there is clearing ahead of the line, but not enough

readyletsgo 12-Mar-19 06:04 PM

bet some desperate fools drove 12 hours for this

312will 12-Mar-19 06:06 PM

Member when there was clearing that would take Carlsbad to 73 vs 59? I member.

2

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:07 PM

CI looks imminent

Lol I tried telling folks not to chase. Only reason people got so hyped is bc it's the first Plains event/potential of the season

Supercell development looking imminent here

312will 12-Mar-19 06:09 PM

Actual clearing!

I'm hoping it's the intersection of 70/60

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 06:12 PM

First tall storm just N of Dell City.. 40 dbz at 30 kft.

** 40 dbz at 40kft

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:13 PM

where da fuck is that

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 06:13 PM

312will 12-Mar-19 06:14 PM

To my SSE

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 06:14 PM

The namnest is gonna verify!

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:14 PM

oh is that part of the garbage

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 06:14 PM

Yeah part of the line

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:14 PM

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 06:15 PM

Looks like initiation could be starting in big bend as well

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 06:15 PM

VTP is having some issues

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:15 PM

Don't shleep on my circle area

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 06:15 PM

Oh BTW, if you are using KHDX, you are getting beam blocked on it... Tilt up of use KMAF

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:15 PM

VTP is maybe the most useless parameter ever

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 06:16 PM

Uh yeah

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 06:16 PM

Subtle SW-ne boundary between artesia and Carlsbad is my only hope

But anvil shadows are imminent

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 06:18 PM

Welp

5

6

Goodbye supercells lol

312will 12-Mar-19 06:19 PM

lol

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 06:19 PM

Hahah damn

Jon 12-Mar-19 06:19 PM

You can’t say goodbye if they never said hello

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 06:19 PM

Can't say we haven't seen mm this coming for a few hours now

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 06:20 PM

My only hope is the cumulus field in big bend right now

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 06:21 PM

SUMMARY...An intensifying line of thunderstorms will pose a risk for damaging winds across parts of southeast NM and far West TX this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a line of intense convection extending across eastern Otero and extreme western Chaves counties of southeast NM. These storms have formed along a very strong Pacific cold front, where 2-hour surface pressure falls of 5+ mb are noted. The convection has begun to accelerate eastward, with individual components now moving at over 45 knots to the northeast. Strong forcing along the front, steepening low-level lapse rates ahead of the storms, and favorable low-level winds shown on local VAD and forecast sounding data support an increasing risk of damaging winds along the line. The main limiting factor will be the residual cool layer near the surface which may reduce the strength of wind gusts at the ground. However, These storms will also be moving off the Sacramento mountains into a more moist boundary-layer which may help to offset the near-ground stable layer.

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 06:22 PM

Forcing stronk

2

3

Andrew Berrington (Norman, OK) 12-Mar-19 06:23 PM

https://twitter.com/tempestchasing/status/1105594571436838915

Kelton Halbert (@tempestchasing)

@CameronJNixon Would have definitely made the difference. My guess is the CAMs were too agressing in moving it out. Upper wave has definitely slowed down.

Slow upper wave kills this setup for sure

Which I suppose is not surprising given how amplified it is.

312will 12-Mar-19 06:24 PM

SUN. REPEAT. WE HAVE SUN.

#WorthIt

2

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 06:25 PM

This

is over

Lightning ops

Jon Strebler 12-Mar-19 06:25 PM

BUST

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 06:27 PM

jeez bust at 21:30 storm time?

7

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 06:27 PM

Gonna let this Dell City garbage come to me then Rib Crib in Roswell. There are worse ways to spend a day

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 06:28 PM

SPC basically said nope to the tornado threat, and I pretty much agree

312will 12-Mar-19 06:31 PM

Temp just rose eight degrees in Carlsbad lol. Needed it two hours ago.

Ryan Darr (McKinney, TX) 12-Mar-19 06:33 PM

Sounds like early march

Find the strongest winds in the sqaull and let it blow me back to dfw

312will 12-Mar-19 06:34 PM

Dropping to Pecos for the TEC and lightning later

BJC9533 12-Mar-19 06:38 PM

someone think of the children

readyletsgo 12-Mar-19 06:39 PM

https://tenor.com/view/the-simpsons-think-of-children-gif-7523496

312will 12-Mar-19 06:48 PM

72 and sunny five miles south of Carlsbad. And for the first time today, I at least see towers.

A lil too little too late. I'll go get in position for QLCS Time.

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 06:52 PM

@Troy4321 storm going up by Marfa?

Stephen Henry (ABQ, NM) 12-Mar-19 06:52 PM

Squall line cells can't even maintain consistent strength lol

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 06:53 PM

Im heading for it

1

Illinois Wedges 12-Mar-19 07:04 PM

Troy4321 12-Mar-19 07:08 PM

Well that storm near Marfa evaporated

I think I’m going to call it

ryan hearne 12-Mar-19 07:11 PM

Heading home

312will 12-Mar-19 07:18 PM

Going to watch the Dell City cell. One man's last desperate clutch at the day.

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 07:18 PM

SPC to the rescue (edited)

312will 12-Mar-19 07:19 PM

Curious if it's riding the front. It went from 57 to 72 in ten miles.

LLJ howling

I'm reminded how much I rely on velocity scans in radar holes

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:21 PM

wow this busted hard.

Jon 12-Mar-19 07:22 PM

spc not giving up

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:22 PM

Ph friggin hell

Well we might have something there near Marfa?

1

312will 12-Mar-19 07:24 PM

Yeah

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:24 PM

Come on little guy

Will where you at buddy?

Hey if they build the wall. Tell them put up Mesonets all along the wall every 5 miles. lol

1

3

1

crapvection the problem today.

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 07:30 PM

Wait, SPC is still saying supercells possible?

1

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:35 PM

Van Horn looks good

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 07:38 PM

Yummy

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 07:38 PM

https://twitter.com/sirlinjohn/status/1105613770800271360?s=21

John Sirlin (@SirlinJohn)

Mean-looking supercell just southwest of Carlsbad right now. #nmwx

1

4

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:38 PM

friggin hail maker it be thar!

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 07:40 PM

Boom.

I think goes just lost signal

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:40 PM

it's so far from radar.

they tor warned it. Whites City NM. (edited)

g2g

Jdbeesonwx 12-Mar-19 07:51 PM

Anyone wanna go join me in putting some dynamite on that mountain blocking the radar and hit the kaboom button?

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 07:52 PM

Its my dream as a geologist

4

to blow up a mountain with dynamite

Otherwise my degrees are useless (edited)

Angelo 12-Mar-19 07:55 PM

Wow velocity looks strong

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 07:56 PM

At 547 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Whites City, or 16 miles south of Carlsbad, moving east at 50 mph. At 545 PM MDT a Park Ranger at Carlsbad National Park reported hail up to golfball size cover the ground.

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 07:57 PM

Beast mode

The town of Loving is going to get a beating

Jon 12-Mar-19 07:58 PM

the hail is slowing down i believe, all the high dbz is getting smaller in area

and we just went below 65

its on a weakening trend

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 07:59 PM

dropped hail core

JFMass (Montreal, Qc) 12-Mar-19 07:59 PM

This is a dream storm structure lolol

Jon 12-Mar-19 07:59 PM

itd be nice if this was below 5k ft beam though, we're still above 13,000

next scan should get us sub 13000

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:00 PM

Maybe a new area of rotation on the SE side?

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:00 PM

that might anti?

well nope

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:01 PM

Jeez I hope the chasers have more than just that one highway to escape

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:01 PM

i dont think they need to worry about "escape" as it looks like this guy is done

or at least this cycle

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:02 PM

Confirmed tornado near Dexter, NM

1

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

where the hell is dexter

1

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

Further north of the line

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

oh there we go, warning popped up finally, its north of the TOR

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

It's near Roswell, NM

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

Sheriffnado (edited)

2

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:03 PM

nado

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:04 PM

Radar coverage sucks over it

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:04 PM

18,000 ft beam from KMAF

11,000 from KFDX

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:06 PM

talking about Dexter one?

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:08 PM

yes

312will 12-Mar-19 08:08 PM

But it's between two rain shafts and hail starting

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 08:08 PM

Very nice

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:09 PM

https://twitter.com/TheTXWXchaser/status/1105621256345260033

Marcus Diaz (@TheTXWXchaser)

Caught a glimpse of a large rain wrapped #tornado near Dexter, NM #nmwx

So uh

That's a thing

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:11 PM

Wow it’s dark for 5:10

No wait...6:10

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 08:13 PM

Dexter has the best terrain and road network in the area

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:13 PM

Fort Sunmer NM Tor warned (edited)

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:13 PM

Wills cell looks gnarly

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

Lil TOR warned shrimp

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

hehehe

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

Git it

2

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

https://twitter.com/TheTXWXchaser/status/1105622323732729857

Marcus Diaz (@TheTXWXchaser)

@NWSAlbuquerque Debris falling from the sky in Dexter. Watched it rope out.

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

We believe in you, Will!

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

Deng

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

Get it WILL! GO GO

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:14 PM

Also that’s not good

312will 12-Mar-19 08:15 PM

Remind me to never do this again

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:15 PM

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:15 PM

nope

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 08:15 PM

76 mph gust at Carlsbad airport.

312will 12-Mar-19 08:16 PM

I can't believe I didn't get a cracked windshield

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:16 PM

That’s a win then

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:17 PM

Atta boy Will

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 08:17 PM

Not in David’s eyes lol

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:18 PM

You’re a pro hail dodger

312will 12-Mar-19 08:18 PM

2

5

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 08:18 PM

Nice golfballs!

John Choquette (Edmond, OK) 12-Mar-19 08:18 PM

some 2"ers/golf balls?

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:19 PM

?

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:19 PM

I dont think so but I'm not sure

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 08:19 PM

@Angelo Not a TDS

Hail

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:19 PM

I doubt a TDS, literally nothing around it lol

Angelo 12-Mar-19 08:19 PM

Yeah, doesn’t look organized like a ball

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:20 PM

brief and weak tds, 11,000 beam height

im only confident in saying that since we have word from the ground of debris

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:21 PM

Will has tor warned and confirmed by Malaga NM. (edited)

312will 12-Mar-19 08:21 PM

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:22 PM

TORR near Carlsbad (edited)

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 08:22 PM

Snowing ?

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:22 PM

Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Eddy County in southeastern New Mexico... * Until 645 PM MDT. * At 620 PM MDT, a confirmed tornado was located in loving, or 15 miles southeast of Carlsbad, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter. SOURCE...Emergency Management confirmed tornado.

4

312will 12-Mar-19 08:22 PM

I'm in Loving?

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:23 PM

south of Loving on SN dots (edited)

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 08:23 PM

@312will Just off to your NE?

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:23 PM

https://twitter.com/mattkoket/status/1105624725773041665?s=21

𝕾𝖙𝖔𝖗𝖒𝖈𝖍𝖆𝖘𝖊𝖗 𝕸𝖆𝖙𝖙 (@MattKoket)

That tor on the southern storm though! Great job @Txstormhunter and @Stormtrek1!

Where is dat

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:23 PM

Dexter, NM I assume

312will 12-Mar-19 08:24 PM

I'm headed east in a mile

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:24 PM

Ricardo NM?

k will

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:24 PM

That’s wills storm

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:25 PM

dang!

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:26 PM

Few areas of rotation in the line now

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:27 PM

linear mode is active. (edited)

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:28 PM

https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1105625413852778496

Jeff Piotrowski (@Jeff_Piotrowski)

Storm chaser Stacey Gifford just confirmed tornado lasted four minutes at 7:15 PM DST. #nmwx @NWSMidland

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 08:31 PM

ah nice a tornado happened while I was at dinner

looks nice

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 08:31 PM

It says in the description that is the southern storm

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:32 PM

2 tors*

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:32 PM

2 confirmed

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 08:32 PM

Via Tyler Hudson

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 08:32 PM

one

and one in that pic?

Jon 12-Mar-19 08:32 PM

dexter, NM had a weak tds that im personally only comfortable calling a TDS because of ground confirmation of debris

Jdbeesonwx 12-Mar-19 08:33 PM

That is a nice tube

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:33 PM

I'd be happy

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 08:33 PM

yea looks rather nice for how linear those storms looks

Caitlin Kelly 12-Mar-19 08:33 PM

That's beautiful

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:33 PM

Did will get to see it?

wxmeddler 12-Mar-19 08:34 PM

I think Will was perhaps just back in the mess, didn't see it. Not entirely convinced this isn't the Dexter tor...

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:34 PM

@Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) Was that the Loving, NM storm or the Dexter, NM storm? Hearing mixed reports.

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:34 PM

https://twitter.com/mattkoket/status/1105624725773041665?s=21

𝕾𝖙𝖔𝖗𝖒𝖈𝖍𝖆𝖘𝖊𝖗 𝕸𝖆𝖙𝖙 (@MattKoket)

That tor on the southern storm though! Great job @Txstormhunter and @Stormtrek1!

The two mentioned in the tweet are both near Loving

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:35 PM

Got it! Thanks

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 08:35 PM

whos pic is that?

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:36 PM

https://twitter.com/McBeeWX/status/1105627620719366144

Chris McBee (@McBeeWX)

Confirmed #tornado just east of Loving, NM. #nmwx

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:36 PM

Not sure which one

Ben Jurkovich (Seattle, Wa) 12-Mar-19 08:38 PM

This is all the southern storm for the last 20 messages

312will 12-Mar-19 08:38 PM

Yeah missed it but still tracking. Roads may doom me.

Freshgeek 12-Mar-19 08:38 PM

Go Will go

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:39 PM

https://twitter.com/JNeubauerWx/status/1105629102827098112

Joseph Neubauer (@JNeubauerWx)

Footage of a Tornado in Loving, NM This is moving east at 30mph quickly along 128 through Eddy County. Folks in the path of this storm need to take cover. Big thank you to Yadira Lujan & stay safe. @NWSMidland #nmwx https://t.co/nHHSVN6tUs

https://twitter.com/TheTXWXchaser/status/1105629092597006336

Marcus Diaz (@TheTXWXchaser)

@NWSAlbuquerque snapshot of the Dexter #tornado roping out taken at 6:42 pm mountain time #nmwx

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:42 PM

So two decent tors today

Not bad for NM in March really

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 08:42 PM

rope

Jdbeesonwx 12-Mar-19 08:42 PM

Remember what happened two hours ago?

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:43 PM

Everyone simultaneously calling bust saved the day

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:43 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hm81kXXZ4d0&feature=youtu.be

Live Storms Media

03-12-19 Malaga, Nm tornado

NOT FOR BROADCAST Contact Brett Adair with Live Storms Media to license. [email protected] Cone tornado just south of Malaga Nm. (2 miles) At 715pm

Hot damn

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:44 PM

https://livestormchasing.com/map

312will 12-Mar-19 08:44 PM

Missed it by three miles and a hail core. Still, this has been fun.

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:44 PM

At least you got some golf balls

453Braxton 12-Mar-19 08:44 PM

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:45 PM

Chase Boyer

he got one

312will 12-Mar-19 08:45 PM

Yeah man I freaking love it. And we're not even close to the good part of the season.

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:45 PM

might? be well...

look on his stream

monsoonman1 12-Mar-19 08:45 PM

Plenty of goods left

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:46 PM

funnel finger

Nkrietz23 (Portage MI) 12-Mar-19 08:46 PM

He’s got a funnel

seanbarg 12-Mar-19 08:46 PM

chase just joined here recently

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Mar-19 08:46 PM

oh no it's bug guts it's moving around.