Stormtrack - 01-11-2020-la_ms_al_fl_tn

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 05-Jan-20 10:09 PM

Saturday weekend chase with 15% Day 7.

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 05-Jan-20 10:34 PM

01-11 18z 138hrs gfs 500mb W.

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 05-Jan-20 10:48 PM

Moisture won't be a problem, lol.

https://twitter.com/WxZachary/status/1214022565913600000

Zachary Hall (@WxZachary)

Plenty of moisture return depicted by the GFS for Friday into the weekend. The EURO (12z run) is even more aggressive. Remember you do not need extreme values this time of year. https://t.co/OYOJChnE8g

WeathermanEd (Chicago) 06-Jan-20 10:42 AM

https://twitter.com/reedtimmeraccu/status/1214224232219066369?s=12

Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu)

A vigorous upper-level storm system gains a slight NEGATIVE TILT upon ejection from the southern Plains, with a 70 knot low-level jet developing across central Dixie Alley by Saturday morning! Significant severe weather, tornadoes likely MS, AL, maybe TN Saturday @pivotalw...

RidleyTheSpacePirate34 06-Jan-20 12:48 PM

And I would be missing the show... due to traveling. At least my flight isn't on Saturday. Regardless, that really got my attention.

Alex Goldstein (NYC) 06-Jan-20 01:20 PM

Saturday looks fun

jordand71 07-Jan-20 12:41 AM

Agreed will be keeping an eye on this throughout the week

Morphtato 09-Jan-20 02:31 AM

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jan-20 06:49 AM

GFS right and NAM left 63hrs 06z.

NAM 3k 36-60 hrs. Notice Out ahead of front. On and off showers. Does show some prefrontals. Quickly over taken by SL. Then again NAM luves QLCS fest only. Going to be interesting the next few days, to say the least.

Chris Jackson 09-Jan-20 12:41 PM

Jim Martin 09-Jan-20 12:47 PM

where is that sounding from Chris?

Frogge (Memphis, TN) 09-Jan-20 12:49 PM

Loaded

Chris Jackson 09-Jan-20 12:53 PM

South Central Bama.

5

18Z based off latest SREF

6

GSTSteve (Southwest Georgia 09-Jan-20 03:32 PM

going to get interesting in Alabama with a PDS

Chris Jackson 09-Jan-20 03:32 PM

I made a Gif based on the latest SREF Soundings for Tuscaloosa. https://twitter.com/chrisjacksonsc/status/1215385354666217476?s=21

☈ Chris Jackson ☈ (@ChrisJacksonSC)

Animated Gif of the latest SREF Soundings for Tuscaloosa on Saturday. In total 11 hours beginning at 15Z through 01Z. #alwx https://t.co/MXpev4EhMI

6

4

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jan-20 04:35 PM

@Chris Jackson Dat be so kewl man.

6

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jan-20 07:41 PM

This is coming to me wondering about just local chase after family? But I'd be chasing this at night. Tree Suicide or Lightning Flash tube?

jordand71 09-Jan-20 07:46 PM

i would chase locally if you can glen its worth it even if you dont see anything knock the dust off your severe weather driving

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jan-20 07:47 PM

good point

AverageBreh 09-Jan-20 09:31 PM

Dem shakedown runs.

Morphtato 10-Jan-20 12:49 AM

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: 10% SIG - Enhanced Wind: 30% SIG - Enhanced Hail: 15% - Slight

olphyra 10-Jan-20 11:50 AM

Recent D2 update

WeathermanEd (Chicago) 10-Jan-20 12:36 PM

Initial cells though, southern Alabama looks pretty good

WildishSlambino 10-Jan-20 09:17 PM

https://twitter.com/JoshWeather/status/1215834862868930566

Josh Johnson (@JoshWeather)

The 01z HRRR is a particularly troubling scenario for Alabama. Really cranks the tornado threat up within that line. Please, be ready to get to that safe place quickly tomorrow. And have multiple, reliable ways of getting weather warnings. #alwx

8

3

Morphtato 11-Jan-20 04:18 AM

https://twitter.com/NWSLakeCharles/status/1215939651611041792

NWS Lake Charles (@NWSLakeCharles)

UPDATE!!! Lake Charles is experiencing a major communications issue. As of 3:50am we have lost connection and @NWSHouston is backing us up.

Shane Adams (Fort Worth, TX) 11-Jan-20 10:07 AM

That's inconvenient.

Niels van K [NL] 11-Jan-20 12:01 PM

https://twitter.com/abc3340/status/1216056983473836034

ABC 33/40 News (@abc3340)

Pickens Co EMA: Two confirmed fatalities, multiple injuries on Settlement Road https://t.co/MWpEOL9uje

after a tornado

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 12-Jan-20 12:20 PM

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1216404534647349253

NWS Columbia (@NWSColumbia)

A NWS Storm Survey Team has confirmed tornado damage to North Central High School in Kershaw County SC. The team is still evaluating the EF rating and track.

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 13-Jan-20 12:10 AM

Okay got the correct one. Since the posted one and then posted another that's the correct one. EF0 .56 miles long and 160 yards wide. Yeah this was the one I was on. https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202001130336-KGSP-NOUS42-PNSGSP (edited)

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 13-Jan-20 12:19 AM

The one down in Newberry. Was straightline winds. https://twitter.com/NWSColumbia/status/1216474873687461889

NWS Columbia (@NWSColumbia)

The NWS Storm Survey Team that looked for damage in Newberry and Fairfield counties found no tornado damage. Damage was found along Hwy. 34 from the Town of Newberry to the Fairfield County line. #trees #uprooted #snapped and on a home. Due to strong straight line winds.