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Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)13-Dec-19 11:48 PM
Morphtato13-Dec-19 11:49 PM
^ S of the Jackson, MS area.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)13-Dec-19 11:49 PM
yeah kinda cherry picked it.
So it's decent to get it done, but messy with veer.
Morphtato13-Dec-19 11:52 PM
Just to the east of Columbus, MS near the MS/AL border.(edited)
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)13-Dec-19 11:52 PM
yeah that's better
50knot storm motion. Suckers moving.
Morphtato13-Dec-19 11:53 PM
Fast moving, messy storm mode.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)13-Dec-19 11:54 PM
You can't chase that. You just have to be in the way.(edited)
GrayGhost13-Dec-19 11:54 PM
Pretty much. Typical of most of my chasing when I still lived in that part of the country
Noir14-Dec-19 12:13 AM
Interested to see how this develops, but as of now I have better things to do than get run over by 50kts storms in the jungle.
Experimental HRRR just a little bit bullish there.
Angelo15-Dec-19 03:46 PM
Can’t wait to see all the disappointed chasers on twitter tomorrow
9
jordand7115-Dec-19 04:36 PM
if i do choose to chase tomorrow afternoon the furthest im going is 3hrs out. aka under $50 in gas. South TN/ North AL
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 06:48 PM
interesting to see what SPC does tonight the the update....
Probabilistic Outlook
Shane Adams (Fort Worth, TX)15-Dec-19 06:50 PM
What the SPC does with the update will likely be far more interesting than what actually happens. I think Dixie is #1 for the most potential hype that ends up being garbage. So they can still brag about that.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 07:02 PM
Well Shane this is a Postive Tilted Trough. Not expecting a outbreak of severe wx. Some of the storms getting severe, yes. Flooding will be the big issue. Ussually you get that with negative titled trough or at least I thought that's how it is? Negative gives you the outbreaks. Correct me if I'm wrong. Course I wouldn't mind being surprised and Jordan gets something!
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN)15-Dec-19 07:08 PM
no, tomorrow is legit
there's a lot to like about tomorrow and there could be multipe significant tornadoes
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 07:10 PM
ok, i see a bit of veer. but that's a legit sounding.
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN)15-Dec-19 07:23 PM
I don't understand how the hype isn't even higher for tomorrow
tomorrow is dangerous
KFC Chicken15-Dec-19 07:33 PM
Yeah, I'm actually very concerned if supercells form.
Especially when I can click anywhere pretty much any spot ahead of the front in south MS and LA and get a sounding like this
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 07:39 PM
Well then SPC will be interesting for sure gonna stay up for this.
Morphtato15-Dec-19 07:41 PM
I'm getting the ready, because this will be interesting.(edited)
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 07:52 PM
Wow, few days ago I had to cherry pick a sharpy to get it decent. Now it's looking very interesting. Now I wish I could go, almost.
Matthew Davies (Poteau, OK)15-Dec-19 08:03 PM
OT Ranch when the new update comes out ?
3
Morphtato15-Dec-19 08:06 PM
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 08:07 PM
L33T
SPC party
Matthew Davies (Poteau, OK)15-Dec-19 08:08 PM
Morphtato15-Dec-19 08:11 PM
Of course the NAM continues to go
6
Noir15-Dec-19 08:36 PM
Cloud cover could be a problem; but either way tomorrow is a computer chase day. No desire to run in the jungle.
KFC Chicken15-Dec-19 09:13 PM
Small 75 contour there at 21z in LA, surrounded by a fairly large 60 contour. 03z SREF will run later.(edited)
10
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 09:30 PM
NAM3k luv of Squal is showing in 00z
@KFC Chicken I'm doubting that.
KFC Chicken15-Dec-19 09:33 PM
It's hard for me to really believe that the probs are that high, but the HRRR has been consistent.
We'll see what happens, I doubt it'll be complete squall like NAM3k (which it always is anyway).
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)15-Dec-19 09:35 PM
I know NAM is in luv with squal or QLCS.
KFC Chicken15-Dec-19 09:51 PM
#⚡wx-lobby⚡ giving us another treat for this event
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN)15-Dec-19 09:57 PM
Steve Copertino (New York, NY)15-Dec-19 10:01 PM
00z HREF
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN)15-Dec-19 10:04 PM
Mike Maz (Minneapolis, MN)Today at 7:23 PM
I don't understand how the hype isn't even higher for tomorrow
tomorrow is dangerous
Progression of @NWSSPC outlooks valid 12.16.19. Super proud to be a part of this amazing team! @mattmosier got us started at Day 5, with a tag team effort by myself, Steve Goss, @supercellsigtor, @SkyPixWeather and @jwxman. Excellent forecasting! #teamworkmakesthe...
Tornado Survey Update: Prelim damage survey information suggests a high end EF2 tornado went through Lamar County around Sumrall and into far southern Covington County. Winds estimated around 132mph.
A NWS Storm Survey team investigated yesterday's tornado between DeRidder and Alexandria and determined winds to be between 140-160 MPH making it an EF-3 on the enhanced Fujita scale. The path length was 62 miles long and tornado was 400 yards wide at its largest.
Can say the 15% hatched was absolutely appropriate for this one.
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN)19-Dec-19 08:57 PM
yes, I am glad I called for a 15% hatched the night before the event
Mike Maz (Minneapolis, MN)Last Sunday at 7:08 PM
no, tomorrow is legit
there's a lot to like about tomorrow and there could be multipe significant tornadoes
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC)Last Sunday at 7:10 PM
ok, i see a bit of veer. but that's a legit sounding.
Mike Maz (Minneapolis, MN)Last Sunday at 7:23 PM
I don't understand how the hype isn't even higher for tomorrow
tomorrow is dangerous