Stormtrack
12-28-2019_ar_ks_mo_ok_tx
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 02:04 PM
Mike Ma☈z (Minneapolis, MN) 28-Dec-19 02:05 PM
Wedgenadogenesis
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:05 PM
QLCSnado
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 02:06 PM
derecho
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:06 PM
almost more interested in the stuff happening in TX rather than the triple point
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:08 PM
The Texas is a lie, obviously. It's not in the yellow!
Yao 4
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:11 PM
honestly surprised the outlook doesn't include TX
better parameters across the board
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:16 PM
Brand newzzle
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:18 PM
is that a spotter-related thing?
intrigued by the "target area" stuff at the bottom
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:19 PM
http://wxspots.com/wxwarn.htm
WXSpots - Severe Weather Now! Featuring WXWarn Free Weather Software!
Track severe weather now, anywhere in the US with our free weather software - WXWarn!
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:20 PM
ah, will check that out
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:22 PM
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:27 PM
I'm still watching that mess E of OKC but all that extra rain and outflow is losing my interest
and then there's this near the OK/KS border troll
troll 1
might get a tor soon
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:35 PM
TSA dropped thr first warning of the day
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:38 PM
barely constitutes a svr warn
I called no svr warns probably 3mins before it was issued yee
Yao 1
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 02:39 PM
That aged very well troll
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:40 PM
it didnt have any time to age Yao
rotation on the svr warn is broadening
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:41 PM
The whole area is under thick cloud cover, along with the area ahead of it.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:41 PM
yeah the low levels are a mess
LCLs and LFC are the same and very low
Surface dews are close to the temps, so everyone is getting scuddy trash even away from the storms (edited)
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 02:42 PM
Only thing really driving this thing is the amount of shear.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:43 PM
exactly
instability is negligible
barely 500 j/kg
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 02:43 PM
SVR cancelled
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:43 PM
it tried
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:44 PM
Adivsories are being continually pushed, though. The day might have something interesting to do, yet.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:44 PM
we've got a couple hours yet
that was the first attempt of the day
the lines E and SE of OKC are dealing with a lot of rain and outflow ahead of them
may help enhance vorticity, may hinder them
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:53 PM
Texas starting to get in on it now. New adivsory. https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=TX125D22FC1764.SpecialWeatherStatement.125D22FC312CTX.FWDSPSFWD.f276082d0b2207103dc500442a0552b0
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 02:55 PM
Watch Dallas get a QLCS tor right through downtown
troll 1
concentrated winds headed their way
if these storms had a more eastward motion, I think things would be very different
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 02:57 PM
Look at what's following this stuff.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 03:04 PM
well, i gotta close up the theater and head home. let's see what happens in 30mins lol
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 03:04 PM
Statement after statement rolling now.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 03:04 PM
of course peak happens when I can't watch anything now haha
Yao 1
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 03:07 PM
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 03:16 PM
SVR Tulsa
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 03:32 PM
https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=OK125D22FC376C.TornadoWarning.125D22FC5260OK.TSATORTSA.07d16a197685b662ebd104ba46ca29aa
TOR
They're continuing the TOR
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 03:40 PM
Dropped
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 03:42 PM
LOL. Literally in the same 3 minutes.
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 03:48 PM
TOR Watch #707 out
https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1211041231297376257
NWS Tornado (@NWStornado)
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri and Oklahoma until 10 PM CST
Twitter
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 05:09 PM
Cool deal. GRL3 is working again.
Doppler 28-Dec-19 05:30 PM
Nice to be able to talk in here for once lol
that KCMO segment is worth watching, 3-4 mesovortices have spawned off of it
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 05:48 PM
https://twitter.com/weathermanWill/status/1211065301938388992?s=19
Will Wight (@weathermanWill)
@NWStulsa Images of possible tornado damage near County Line Rd and E 101st St in Broken Arrow, OK (Was given permission by family to post photos) @wabby106 @CameronJNixon #okwx #Tornado #Oklahoma
Twitter
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 06:49 PM
Starting to wrap this up.
Here is the 00Z RAOB from SGF mentioned in the discussion.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 06:58 PM
Damn look at those helicity values
All to be shunted by VBV troll
troll 1
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:01 PM
lol, man the shear. 500+
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:02 PM
Of course after I post this, a TOR is issued troll
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:03 PM
did IA troll? lol
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:03 PM
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:03 PM
Nah, still MO.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:03 PM
Those LRs are still traaassshhh
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:04 PM
well I called F. Stockton. lol, for shits and giggles.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:04 PM
Shear is doing all the work
You’re never wrong to call Ft. Stockton haha
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:04 PM
5.3 not gonna get it done. It's still trying.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:05 PM
Has the EL been that low all day?
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:05 PM
no idea, just got on.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:05 PM
Dude I was all over it this morning
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:05 PM
Kink in the line there
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:05 PM
oh yeah
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:06 PM
Made a couple calls that didn’t pan out, but my TA this morning was Tulsa area so I nailed that
Gotta learn any chance possible, even with grungey QLCS messes
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:07 PM
You on the road? (edited)
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:07 PM
we might ave a CC drop?
Jonny u and treft going out tomorrow?
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:08 PM
It's weak, but possibly.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:08 PM
No, just chasing from home
And no lol
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:08 PM
I'm getting Jack and Crap.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:08 PM
I have family party anyways
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:08 PM
No CC drop
Negative on the ZDR column as well.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:09 PM
We’ll know more on the next scan
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:09 PM
I dunno?
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
Idk don’t think it dropped enough but something is going on there
monsoonman1 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
Pretty likely a brief TDS
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
Composite looks a little gnarlier, but the BV is showing a hooky little chunk of the line, with a couplet, but no nearby ZDR column, no donut.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
Dragon's fart
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
birdfart
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:10 PM
Btw I’d be surprised if tomorrow produced anything other than PDS rain
In my area
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:11 PM
I would to. We're getting nothing.
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:12 PM
My best guess is that tor may have caused minor damage. That small drop coincides with the track of the couplet
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:12 PM
Jonny Glessner 28-Dec-19 07:13 PM
That looks like a TDS to me
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:13 PM
to be fair thought only a 84% drop in signal.
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:13 PM
TOR's been renewed.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:14 PM
my faith has been renewed. lol
Yao 4
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:15 PM
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:16 PM
maybe something on 2 scans. But still that's weaksauce.
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:16 PM
Blip so far.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:16 PM
notice the red dot correlation. (edited)
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:17 PM
Yeah, if it was anything it was absolutely weak.
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:17 PM
Thing looks gnar on composite, tho
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:17 PM
yeah gr looks better.
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:18 PM
LOL, that is GR. I found the composite setting in GRL3.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:19 PM
no wind reports so far? just that house?
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:19 PM
They keep updating that TOR, about every 5 minutes. They think something's there.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:20 PM
did you update the velocity with every new warning?
AverageBreh 28-Dec-19 07:21 PM
I'm just running on GR's update schedule.
Check that stairstep.
Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 28-Dec-19 07:22 PM
59 temps and 59 dewpoint (edited)
twins.
this isn't even putting out lightning.
Morphtato 28-Dec-19 07:28 PM
Expired
https://twitter.com/CameronJNixon/status/1211061037249810435
Cameron Nixon (@CameronJNixon)
My day: cactus shopping, puppy petting, Whataburgering, and QLCS tornado watching all 20 minutes from my second home. #casualsaturday (Damage ~101st and 105th in SE Broken Arrow @NWStulsa)
Twitter