Stormtrack - 5-22-20_ar_ks_mo_ok

Jake Wallentine (Wichita, KS) 22-May-20 11:04 AM

HRRR still wants to rebound that OFB back north a ways, but not sure it will get back north past the RR at this point. Looks like right now on Obs and satellite that it's almost to the DWF metro.

If I was out, i'd probably aim back towards Wichita Falls for initiation. Upper levels, as usual this month, are pretty weak. So probably can't expect too much, unless you can get a cell to anchor that existing boundary and spin a bit more than it would otherwise.

Shane Adams (Fort Worth, TX) 22-May-20 11:14 AM

Yeah, I was just telling Bridget the western portion of the boundary curves back north, the eastern portion is past us now on FWD I believe. (edited)

Just sucks it couldn't set up a little more north into SC OK.....at least get a glancing influence of the main upper support. I feel like we're in Groundhog Day here.

They will probably keep the 1630Z on forecast and just slide it further south, according to what we're seeing in the obs/satellite. I wouldn't be surprised if it's a "previous discussion..." type out look. (edited)

John Choquette (Edmond, OK) 22-May-20 11:24 AM

yeah this has the feeling of "punting it to the next guy" type update

Joshua Yurkiewicz (Bastrop, TX) 22-May-20 12:14 PM

A race to get to the OFB....

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 22-May-20 01:20 PM

Keep and eye on the dry slot near the low in KS. Got some solid moisture convergence and cape is rebounding. Tons of vorticity, could see some mini-supers and hail. thats the little 2% that isn't even discussed

Payton (Lawrence, KS) 22-May-20 01:20 PM

I'm gonna head up there soon. Just not sure where to sit. Maybe north of Manhattan

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 22-May-20 01:23 PM

I'd probably target NE of MHK or SE of Maryville. but...working todya

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 22-May-20 01:29 PM

https://twitter.com/NWSSevereTstorm/status/1263899064636043265?s=20

NWS Severe Tstorm (@NWSSevereTstorm)

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Oklahoma and Texas until 8 PM CDT

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 22-May-20 01:30 PM

Apple size? Have they not been to a grocery store? Honeycrisps are HUGE

Fuji apple = break your windshield. Honeycrisp will murder you.

8

5

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 22-May-20 03:14 PM

STRONG moisture convergence just N of MHK, cape near 1000 building just S. lots of gravity waves propagating E to W with the low

1

things should really pickup in the next 2-3 hours, with any cells possibly throwing out landspouts or mini-super tors

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 22-May-20 04:22 PM

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 22-May-20 05:52 PM

Brief funnel on this cell

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 22-May-20 10:56 PM

https://twitter.com/grantisfunny/status/1264034976900829192?s=21

Grant Crosslin (@grantisfunny)

@wfaaweather check out this hail from Burkburnett, TX. Meteorologists are on the way to check it out, may be a record size for hail. My cousin just sent this to me.