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EVENT ARCHIVE / 06-09-2020_ar_il_in_ky_mo_tn
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James T. (Columbus Grove, OH) 08-Jun-20 05:57 PM
Tropical cyclone tors 🌚
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 08-Jun-20 10:34 PM
Not sure how I'm feeling about IL on this latest run.
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Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 08-Jun-20 11:44 PM
Lower MI has some of my interest based on tonight's data.
Not a fan of it being a nighttime threat. AngryTom
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Cameron (Fortson, GA) 09-Jun-20 12:37 AM
Seeing some funky hodos, look like updraft venting goes back into the hodo itself? It seems there's a lot of shear, but I don't know how much is "there" to anchor it, if you get my drift (edited)
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:51 AM
I really don't know for central/south IL at this point
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Cameron (Fortson, GA) 09-Jun-20 12:54 AM
SFC low it is (edited)
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:56 AM
Hm?
RAP showing similar hodos to the HRRR
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Cameron (Fortson, GA) 09-Jun-20 12:56 AM
Placement and timing seems to finnicky
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:57 AM
Agreed. I'm not sure exactly what I'm looking at in terms of time, location for initiation (edited)
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Cameron (Fortson, GA) 09-Jun-20 12:57 AM
SFC low is placed differently on models as well, how much destablization you get, how much do dews advect
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 01:05 AM
Might be a case of positioning myself and just watching GOES
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Payton (Lawrence, KS) 09-Jun-20 01:06 AM
I vote you go west
this 1
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 01:10 AM
thonk
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 01:55 AM
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Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 09-Jun-20 09:11 AM
10% may come to IL/IN in later outlooks
PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS (ROUGHLY THE EASTERN HALF) INTO INDIANA WILL BE REEVALUATED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO-RELATED RISK UPGRADE (10% ENHANCED)
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:13 PM
A mid-level dry slot on the southern fringe of the Cristobal should continue to develop east-northeastward over southeast Missouri and western portions of Kentucky/Tennessee toward Illinois/Indiana through the afternoon. With a very moist air mass (low 70s F surface dewpoints) also developing northward, dry slot-related cloud breaks and diurnal heating will contribute to weakening inhibition and moderate buoyancy by afternoon, particularly across Illinois into western/central Indiana. The north/northeastward-expanding core of strongest low/mid-level winds will also reside within this same corridor, including an increasing mid-level westerly component this afternoon, which could boost the potential for somewhat longer duration/semi-discrete updraft rotation. A few tornadoes may occur across the region, along with isolated thunderstorm-related wind damage. Portions of Illinois (roughly the eastern half) into Indiana will be reevaluated in subsequent outlooks for a possible tornado-related risk upgrade (10% Enhanced).
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:23 PM
Tentative plan is an early dinner, and just chill across the river and see what develops.
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 12:53 PM
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 03:51 PM
Yeah, I'm not onboard. I think I'm gonna sit at home, watch satellites, maybe jump if something initiates
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Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 09-Jun-20 04:43 PM
stevekahnwgntv
Severe thunderstorms, associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal have moved into the Chicago area. O’Hare Airport reported a wind gust to 60 mph at 3:25 pm and Midway Airport lo…
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Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 09-Jun-20 07:22 PM
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Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 09-Jun-20 08:08 PM
Illinois wins, confirmed tornado east of Kankakee
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Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jun-20 08:51 PM
Nice base, struggling updraft north of Potomac, IL #ilwx
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Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 09-Jun-20 09:32 PM
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Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 09-Jun-20 10:15 PM
Exported 28 message(s)