Oh, I forgot these existed

Thanks for making this room. Now I have somewhere to pooosrrr

Oh hey, a channel

If those storms in NE keep showing up I might end up chasing that.

Yeah, I'm not going out. Monday has some potential, and later in the week too

12am thoughts: The 7pm HRRR/NAM3k both agree that we could see dews as high as 65 in the afternoon hours in Kansas. Both the NAM3k/HRRR have instability values reaching into the high 3,000 J kg. This will be enough instability and moisture to support severe weather tomorrow. When we take a look at the Bulk shear Severe Weather product, the NAM 3km believes that some storms could have winds 18k above the earths surface at around 73 knots. This would be exceptionally good for tornadoes, however, the HRRR brings those winds down to 45 knots, maxing out at around 56 knots in some places. Storms still look to be discreet in the afternoon hours. But around 00z storms look to merge with each other and become more of a wind threat into the night hours. Cloud coverage shouldn't be an issue, so the atmosphere should heat up pretty quickly.

Regardless, I will be chasing, because it's Sunday and I love weather.

Thinking some initial supercells, looking at some solutions with a more semi-discrete southern end storm mode initially in OK panhandle (at least off 0Z HRRR)

Hmph, maybe I should've gotten on the road

I don't understand why the SPC takes so long to update the pages after they tweet out the update

Not loooking forward to that sig hail

I can't sweat the bad decisions. There'll always be another day.

8am thoughts; Good morning folks. As expected we already have 3000 CAPE in the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandle and Western Kansas. Along with this high instability, in Western Kansas the effective shear is currently around 30 knots. We should see this rise later in the day around the afternoon hours. Looking at the Spearville, KS Mesonet we already have 67°F dewpoints. This is very good. Storms should form around 2pm/3pm. (edited)

(edited)

Today smells like 2014. Good potential, high conditional. Lots of mesoscale boundaries

Ooo

Let me read whole discussion and look at obs

DP mid 60s to low 70s in sector behind MCS

Trying to decide if I want to head north to Lincoln or south central NE/Northern KS

Well, I wish I had been more serious about this setup. But its fathers day so I was on the fence. Now I am not sure I can get out in time...

I have a 4 + hour drive to NE (edited)

I have a 4 hour drive to Lincoln so Im cutting it close

4 hour drives are nothing.

If I left now I would get there at 2 or so when stuff should be starting

That's the issue

You're point? If you get there just as storms are firing you're not missing anything besides initiation.

Storms take a while to fully mature. Trust me you will not miss anything.

2017 similar setup that ended up a moderate produced tors here in Nebraska for about 7 hours with gorilla hail and 135mph straight lines

The front is almost stationary so it will take hours for a cold pool to kill the 5000+ cape

I want to go so bad now. Eastern NE looks like the best setup

I'm not too certain of my target.

I am thinking drive to sioux city and evluate from there. NAM wants it just west of there, but RAP wants it an hour fartehr south west of there. Work tomorrow means I need to be at least somewhat considerate of the drive back time.

Is there anyone who is chasing the NE/IA setup who I could caravan with? I don't have data and if I am unable to find a chase partner at the last minute I will be up a creek and unable to chase that far solo (edited)

I would be but father's day plans fucking up chase day

@Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) be grateful that your father is still alive and that you are still able to hang out with him. I would take anything to be able to have one more Father's Day with my Father. Family is more important than a chase day.

I think I'll actually head towards norfolk or so. Lincoln seems too far south

@Mike Thornton (Norman, OK) my dad died 2 months ago. Cancer. Taking my wife out with her dad today

@Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) I'm sorry to hear that. My father died 15 years ago as a result of heart disease.

On to other news, @Payton (Lawrence, KS) yes Norfolk or Columbus is my bet

Could start even further north new Plainview

There is another zone down by Smith center KS that should maximum a little later near 6-7pm

When u got a setup like today, we could see a very large zone with different time setups

11am thoughts; as I mentioned last night, the instability woll continue to rise as the day progress is due to the lack of cloud coverage in southwestern Kansas. In fact, southwestern Kansas currently has 4,000 J kg. That is 1,000 more camp than we had at 8 am. sure is still around 30 knots 18,000 feet into the atmosphere, which is pretty good. In spearville, Kansas the dew points are now 69 degrees. That is a 2 degree increase since 8 am. I am really enjoying the atmosphere setup for today.

I like Dodge City for a rogue cell ahead of the main line

Otherwise cams seem to scream NE Nebraska today. Norfolk. Squall like with embedded mesos pushing southeast

I smells QLCS tors in Nebraska today. 850s kick up to 50-60 kts around 7-8pm

I honestly have paid no attention to Nebraska cuz that's not the area I'm chasing in

ETA is 4 or so in Norfolk

For those chasing in OK today, friendly reminder that COVID remains widespread here, so make sure to wash your hands while here

I just noticed a bunch of grammatical errors in that post I just did with the satellite image. I apologize for that. That is talk-to-text.

Is it me or is the SPC taking forever to get out the new Day 1 outlook?

Not just you (edited)

It happens from time to time.

I'm with Mike Thornton and agree that, on the whole, the best tornado threat is going to be in SW KS. But, the stuff in NC KS is a little concerning to me, in that it could kick out a boundary and be the ignition for new development later this afternoon.

The stuff in NC KS is rooted on the 850mb warm front...and none of that was modeled this morning.

Yeah I got some rain this morning and nowhere I saw was saying that was supposed to happen. Interesting to see how that affect things

Moderate risk issued

Finally

I would've been in Nebraska.

Took them long enough

All after refresh party going on

#public-event-channel

https://i.imgur.com/goM3bOw.png

There's the graphic

We had been doing this for 30 min...

https://tenor.com/view/cat-computer-gif-5368357

Like 30 min late... anybody there in MDT or near it? (edited)

A moderate in Oklohama on June 21st

#2020ing

r/2020ing

Well I’m about 50 miles from the moderate

Ooo... Hope you got something cool in your backyard!

Still heading to Nebraska. I might stay south though

Tons of gravity wave in central and NE Nebraska

Cape over 2500 now on rap

I am targeting sioux City IA, will go west from there till I get rain on my windshield. I have work tomorrow so I am not looking to go much farther. Its a nice 4.5 hour drive for me.

Am I seeing things or there's 5,000+ j/kg CAPE near/in MDT. Max 6,500+... and it's only noon

I guess I can let it speak for itself

That's what happens when you have clearing at the entire day. The atmosphere is able to heat up way more quickly.

Pretty much...

That would be interesting to watch them in 7,000 + j/kg environment

If we manage to get there

Y'all are forgetting about the real action today,

Wouldn't want to be in the core of a storm that has 7000 instability.

Guaranteed destroyed windshield

@Payton (Lawrence, KS) where? In Nebraska? I haven't paid any attention to it because I'm not chasing in that area.

Lieowa

Lol

Yes as we know the best state for chasing.

If I see one in 7K CAPE, it's a giant flashing NOPE

MDTs don't count if they aren't tornado driven

Why, Payton? Wait...? I am not seeing anything happening in 6K CAPE sector so it's STILL getting sun... holy cow... I'm not surprised to see 7-8K+ CAPE in next few hours if nothing forms til then

I'm joking

Pretty much nothing in that sector from satellite (edited)

Really nice looking supercell approaching I-70 in NC KS right now.

Initiation in Nebraska. It has begun

Where?

I see something by plainview.

Healthy supercell in Central Kansas. Having regrets lol

F @Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO)

I'm having some too. Should've stayed in KS (edited)

My family would've bitched, it's father's day

@Payton (Lawrence, KS) why aren’t you on that amigo?

I decided to try Nebraska instead

CU Field going up

Im just south of Minneola KS (edited)

I see! May the corn country tornado goddess smile down upon you

Not this year sadly

Gonna play the DDC/GC/Liberal triangle

Either snag a post frontal cell or a tail end charlie

And we have our first Tornado Warning of the day.

Lovely blue skies

TOR warning already

love watching tornado warnings

From home

You probably wouldnt see anything looking at reflec

I love watching tornado warnings as I drive away :(

Looks completely shrouded

@Wyatt K. (Norman Oklahoma) did you drive all the way from Pennsylvania for this chase?

Ive been out here for a few days

That's what I figured but I was just curious.

Ever since i started seeing this jet ext.

Smart man.

New SVR with 70 mph winds already (edited)

Yep. Gonna shoot south for tomorrow and debating ND/SD later in the week

GFS/UK are showing a nice 90kt jet streak with ample moisture atm. Could be highend

Turkey towers going up and down west of Minneola

Grungy HP blob probs coring everyone it's in the path of

Rapidly rotating wall cloud also reported with 65 mph wind gusts on it

Casually 7,000 SBCAPE in the warmsector

wasn't really planning to go out today, but I think i'll head down to NE and see whats up

Pretty crazy SVA

It’s pretty crazy here right now. Dark skies everywhere now when it was clear a couple hours ago

Its extremely warm and humid. With a sweet 10-15kt SE wind

I can sort of see the tops of those severe thunderstorms in North Western Kansas right now. Just to the south of buckling.

Sickkkkk

Great cumulus field in omaha (edited)

Mother nature is trying.

Mike get closer man

Just might have to.

I'm near Ford Kansas now.

Headed towards Dodge City. I should have been there a few hours ago but I got held up in Oklahoma...

I'm at the Loves in Meade debating whether or not to go north. (edited)

I'm going to stop somewhere to the north of Ford.

In other words I don't know where the hell I'm going to stop somewhere north of there

About to be in meade

Yeah I'm really watching these towers that are going up to the southwest of me towards meade

trying to go up

Watch the copeland area on radar

If those root, go for them

Exactly what I am doing.

That's why I'm going to stop to the north of Ford rather than go to Dodge City.

Looking NW

Aaaannndddd we have storms starting to plow through 7K CAPE (edited)

84/70 here. 3500 cape up north here

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/20062119_OBS/ Omaha sounding a couple hours ago

Grow baby grow

Watching her on radar seeing what she does

That Wilson area just keeps taking an extended beating

https://twitter.com/kwchross/status/1274794955475767296?s=21

Coming at the Montezuma storm

There is at least ten different people named Michael on the Storm

We're multiplying

Flooshed

Michael clones...

She's developing.

https://twitter.com/KWCHJake/status/1274802454417281024

Nebraska looking like garbage

Nebraska gonna 2020. Give it time.

Not giving up. I'm too far to do that (edited)

We got some cin up here. Could help later as the 850s kick in

Prevent the air mass from getting gusted out

Slowly gaining intensity

Trying to obtain a meso atm

Fantastic position

@Mike Thornton (Norman, OK) Beautiful structure!

@Wyatt K. (Norman Oklahoma) she's a gorgeous storm that's for sure.

@GanondorfMain7606 definitely!

Yep

Lovely

Even if my friend and I are going on river walk, I’ll still be here to check out gorgeous sups!

@Adam Reagan (Norman, OK) where are you looking from? I'm near road 24 south of Cimarron

Very gorgeous

106 road off 56 SW of Dodge City.

Gotcha. I'm heading north now

Dont

Go to sublette

I didn't mean 34

Look at radar over ulysses

I meant us-400 I'm going to track this severe storm until it gets engulfed by the Squall line. Damn autocorrect

Dont

Bail now

Go to sublette

Trust

@Mike Thornton (Norman, OK) just turn around and follow the malibu

@Wyatt K. (Norman Oklahoma) unless you're actually on that storm and have evidence for me to drop South when I am chasing a severe thunderstorm I'm not going to do it. I've been chasing for a long time if that storm does anything that's going to head right at me and I can drop for it.

Discrete dryline sups vs blobs with a mcs running into it

Wow

That’s interesting to watch

Did y'all miss the conversation about Mike not giving a damn about other people's opinions during a storm lol

No it's right above us at 4:31pm my time

@Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) only because of the fact that I have had people tell me what's going to go on and it almost made me miss a tornado that I chased.

If I fail, it's gonna be my fault

Can't learn as easily from other people's mistakes

Didn't mean to get snappy at you@Wyatt K. (Norman Oklahoma) lol.

Actually have a pretty neat shelf cloud forming right in front of my eyes.

West of Dodge City

In Norfolk

Waiting

Now that's a rain wall

Neat!

It's coming extremely fast at me. The whole area is Scion blue

Beautiful!

That suction to the right is moving very fast across the land.

Rapidly spinning I'm watching it right in front of my eyes.

I can't believe this, but there are people who have no idea what's going on who are walking right up to it

where I am there is a bunch of hiking trails in there are a bunch of people that are going to get themselves caught out in here.

I'm in the middle of it

@Adam Reagan (Norman, OK) well that sucks I'm on us 410 I drop South towards mineola try say out in front of it and capture the Squall line that is trying to take me over. I recorded 29 mile per hour winds. So it's pretty Gusty towards the edge of the storm. Not severe though

Looks like a huge semi jackknifed towards my road that was going to take me towards mineola. Stuck on us 400.

Just saw a tumbleweed blow across the road.

This is the worst thing ever. This guy literally jackknife to this over weight object.

I'm trying to get to Cimarron and head south.

Sounds like a plan. I'm stuck because of the semis. It's got everyone completely backed up.

Got Storm chasers yelling at the guy lol

I just caught this guy illegally going around everyone he went into ditch almost slammed right into the person stopping traffic.

back on the road headed south. Trying to escape this monster. I've caught a few lightning bolts with my GoPro that's pretty cool.

She's pissed

That guy in that Tahoe I was talking about earlier just passed somebody on a double yellow line he's right behind me.

Here's to hoping that he does something right in front of my GoPro that is illegal.

He just tried to pass me illegally on the shoulder.

So I blocked him and then he kept honking at me.

Not being able to pass on shoulder is stupid. I'll break the law if I have to to avoid putting myself and others trapped with me stuck in the path of something dangerous bearing down on us, idgaf

There's nothing in danger. This is Carla reckless driver.

See El Reno 2013, with people stuck on the highways and turning the Northbound lanes backwards

Well that's different.

You can't just passed somebody who is taking a right turn on the right shoulder and being a dumbass.

#1 rule of the road is don't be a dumbass

Everything else will follow

I want this person to pass me and do something illegal so bad.

Because whoever it is needs to learn how to drive

You can't just pass somebody on the shoulder and almost slammed into a bunch of people and then try to do it again when were stopped at a stop sign because you want to get out in front of the storm

That's WAY different lol, I was talking about being trapped behind an accident

Damn, this thing is a monster

No it wasn't an accident it was two semis carrying large objects that were trying to get across the road.

Ah.

Well I'm just wrong on every front aren't I haha

It's all good. I got very frustrated seeing driving like that.

Super annoying when you get stopped for like 20 minutes with a truck trying to turn left out of somewhere

I don't know who these guys are but now they're pulling over right next to me. I do not have the time or day to be doing this lol

97mph at 600 feet

Where at

N-NW of KDDC

Gotcha. Well now I'm getting passed by like five hundred Storm chasers + the dominator so that's great I should have never stopped

And people wonder why I refuse to chase south of i70. It's the assholes

Hah! Which dominator?

I forget what all is happening with them these days. Haven't paid much attention

They tickle my engineering bone in all the right ways

I don't know. I just know it's that vehicle.

Moisture convergence zone just E of Norfolk Nebraska, trailing SW into central neb. That's the spot to watch. Things starting to fire. Don't give up north target homies

The GoPro took a beating trying to escape that storm

Doesn't look like much. But I can see a bunch of dirt being kicked up as a result of the gust front.

I just got destroyed by 30 mile per hour sustained winds with a gust of forty-two.

Not severe. But extremely good for a gust front.

Thinking I'm gonna head South from Norfolk

@Payton (Lawrence, KS) have you gotten anything yet?

Nope

I paid the price by lighting that gust front go over me a second time I have dirt everywhere in my vehicle.

There's some stuff but not really going to do anyy

I'm sorry to hear that Peyton. I hope you get something!

Back in Meade, beat the gust front. Now I'm getting some wind. About to call it quits and head home.

I haven't given up yet. Hoping the towers in central Nebraska are going to pop off

embedded supercell near Montezuma, KS

@Jacob Punch (Kansas City) this is what it looks like

@Adam Reagan (Norman, OK) stay safe my man

https://twitter.com/NWSWichita/status/1274840219146006530?s=20

Such a beautiful storm. It's a shame that you can't see any structure on it because of the rain shafts.

I just put my camera away and of course the most epic anvil crawler I've ever seen occurs.

Heading south from ashwood Kansas.

Not expecting much from these cells but we'll see what happens

for NE

Just got hit with a 35 mile-per-hour wind gust in Laverne Oklahoma. I told some residents that they need to get inside and a lot were freaking out because of the gust front coming over.

35 mph doesn't even seem that bad lol

https://twitter.com/oklahomachaser/status/1274867899061153793

@Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) when it's sustained it can throw things around in her people. No it's not going to destroy a building but it will throw things that could potentially injure people.

That's true

Headed south towards Shattuck now

Getting a lightning barrage. But I'm too close so I can't film any of it.

We have a huge fire

Think a lightning bolt blew up a battery tank.

Just landed a lightning bolt within 200 ft of me. That was not fun

And another

These are some great pictures mike

Thank you :) @Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS)

It always seems as if Val Castor and I are always on the same storms. Right now he's behind me. Seeing how I look up to him I always Fanboy whenever I see him

How are you uploading these so fast @Mike Thornton (Norman, OK)? I agree, these are lovely.

So much for my free car wash I was planning on. Of course it dies off as it gets to ICT.

Big fan of that last one

Today was a good day. everything went right once again. Currently watching a sunset with a lightning barrage that is occurring right next to it.

@cricketkepler I'm a magician.

Your phone gives an...interesting look to your pictures lol

Mike your pictures are insane!

Nice scud

@Lisa M. (Pflugerville, TX) thank you! :)

@cricketkepler I'm able to upload them so fast because Canon allows you to transfer photos via Wi-Fi from the camera to the phone. Some of the shots I take are also from my phone. (edited)

I can see a nasty shelf cloud on the storm that I am paralleling trying to get home. Can't take any photos of it though cuz it's dark out and I want to get home before I get hit by a Squall line at night which I really do not like doing that.

Stupid MCS day lol it was fun and a bit scary when I did a force intercept just north Dodge City KS... it was blinding rain and the winds almost pushed me off the road..

I can't tell if I see scarred all the way on the ground or there's actually a tornado on the ground. Boy do I hate night storms. whatever it is it looks highly suspicious on the Squall line. Since I'm not chasing it I'm not going to make a report because I don't want to be inaccurate.

Scud all the way on the ground*

Mike, where are you at?

Update definitely Scott. Just had a huge bead lightning bolt light up the sky and I was able to clearly see the structure.

Scud*

I'm on US 33 between Strong City in Hammond Oklahoma.

Just trying to get to i-44.

Ah, I didn't realize you had your dot on

Yeah I do because I'm constantly checking RadarScope to see if I need to make a move South but it looks like I'm putting some distance on so that's good. I really dislike chasing at night after an event I went through in 2017 with a Squall line in Dodge City.

Yeah, you've got plenty of distance

What sucks is that it has an absolutely massive shelf cloud on it but I'm not stopping for it because I've been chasing for 8 plus hours now and I'm tired

Mike you chased?

@Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) glad to hear that you're alive.

I died?

@Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) no but it looks like you finally awoke from your hibernation.

Sounds like time to point a timelapse at it and hightail it home haha

I was hanging out with family.

Oh Mike, your pics from today deserved all of those because they're gems. I'm sucker for pretty structures

@GanondorfMain7606 thank you!

They were nice. Some sweet anvils

Apparently so did the one thousand or so people on my Facebook page

So that's always good

You're welcome!

I live in Dixie, so I don't see structure 99% of time... but those Dixie screamers in Feb were more entertaining to watch on radar.

They are beautiful shots mike!

@Joshua Yurkiewicz (Bastrop, TX) thank you!

Well, I was able to outrun the complete Squall line Mass to the north of me. However I will not be able to outrun this storm that looks to be separating from another Squall line. going to keep an eye on it. Most likely I will just have to intercept it to get home or else I love this other crap from the Northwest will come on me too.

Night Squall Lines are wack as heck. (edited)

only picture worth much

everything else mcs poop

Mike stop uploading video you're driving!

But also, GORGEOUS cg

I bet it had some nice thunder

@Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) I'm stopped silly

lol

@Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) that lightning bolt happened right as I was exiting one of the most largest lightning barrage as I've ever seen in my life. I wish I had my GoPro on the outside of my vehicle when I had to go through that Squall line mess. I had CGs literally everywhere. At one point I had 3 to 4 lightning bolt strike at the same time.

Time for an intermission before I have my second round with the same exact storm I intercepted back near Yukon. Going to pick up a GoPro at an Amazon locker

Ooh, what GoPro?

I bought my second GoPro yesterday. It's a GoPro hero6 black. Mainly bought it for live streaming. I've been looking for something to get myself back into live streaming my chases and that was the most reasonable price and deal.

My other one is my five-year-old GoPro that I've been using for awhile now and it somehow still works

I'm going to be calling it extremely close by doing this lol

lol

I've got a Hero 5 Black. Mostly happy with it

It made for a nice lightning show in Yukon. I relaxed on the couch and watched it roll in.

I got to the Amazon locker and picked everything up right as it began raining. Success.

Yeah I was extremely happy with my GoPro hero 2014 edition. That's why I bought the second one. I'm very excited about it. Lol

The crazy thing is I shot most of my rolling footage today on my five-year-old GoPro. They definitely hold up because I beat the hell out of my GoPro lol

I assume streaming is pretty data intensive, which is why I won't do it

Unless someone pays me to lol

Not even.

Been doing it off and on for years.

Also, when you have unlimited data, you tend not to really care. lol.

I just stream for fun and so that I can have something to re-watch in the future if I ever want to re-watch one of my chases in full. I guess I also do it because people are always interested in what I am chasing and everything. But for the most part it's for me

@Wyatt K. (Norman Oklahoma) Didn’t see that but so beautiful and gorgeous! (edited)

I filmed a dust storm on the leading edge of the gust front south of Cimarron.

Hell yeah

That gust front was throwing dust everywhere.

I was hoping to catch some gustnadoes, but I got 2020'd. ️

I saw one big gustnado but I had a jack off tailgating me so I couldn't focus on it...

It was cool to look at though lol

The entire inside of my vehicle is full of dirt though