Issued at 1024 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2020 Main concern will continue to be the threat for widespread severe thunderstorm damage. Confidence continues to increase for a derecho and significant wind damage. This is the reason for the SPC moderate risk, and environmental set up is very supportive. Main uncertainty still exists with initiation, which will likely occur on the northern edge of the instability/capping across north central North Dakota 3-5pm period. Latest guidance suggests this will be near or just west of the Devils Lake basin. Discrete mode will be favored (significant hail, wind, tornado) and want to make sure to get across that this would happen before the main show most everyone is concerned with.