Who all is chasing this one? I'm on my way through the area so I will be
Cameron (Fortson, GA)16-Jul-20 02:06 PM
7/17 and 7/18 lockitin, I'll be armchasing
Joey Prom (Lafayette, IN)16-Jul-20 07:06 PM
I unfotrunatly planned a trip out of town this weekend. RIP me... But I have gotten lots of opportunities over the past few weeks. I dont anticipate that changing
Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI)17-Jul-20 02:02 AM
Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦17-Jul-20 09:18 AM
MDT expanded well into central MN
4
Palmer | CO17-Jul-20 10:25 AM
I'm gonna cruise west-central ND during the discrete phase and then try and do the tail end charlie dance south as it scales up (edited)
Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI)17-Jul-20 11:50 AM
Issued at 1024 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2020
Main concern will continue to be the threat for widespread severe
thunderstorm damage. Confidence continues to increase for a
derecho and significant wind damage. This is the reason for the
SPC moderate risk, and environmental set up is very supportive.
Main uncertainty still exists with initiation, which will likely
occur on the northern edge of the instability/capping across north
central North Dakota 3-5pm period. Latest guidance suggests this
will be near or just west of the Devils Lake basin. Discrete mode
will be favored (significant hail, wind, tornado) and want to
make sure to get across that this would happen before the main
show most everyone is concerned with.
Dryline is a poweder keg with a lil' dryline bulge there, backing of SFC winds evident near Bismarck too. Already got nearly 50kft tops right off initiation, Boiling pot, like 8,000 SBCAPED modifying RAP soundings to current OBS