Stormtrack - hurricane-hanna-2020

Justin | @Helicity (Houma, LA) 23-Jul-20 02:15 PM

Tropical Depression Eight Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 100 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE DEPRESSION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 90.3W ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 02:40 PM

satcon tracking has it slowing (could be re-centereing further SE than expected). center is well under the CDO right now. t-2.5, models really love this thing

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 23-Jul-20 02:40 PM

It is re-centering further southeast

Nhc notes it in the last advisory

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 23-Jul-20 03:40 PM

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1286383208473530369?s=19

Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits)

#TD8 continues to look healthier on satellite imagery. The lunchtime recon mission showed hints of a contracting vortex at the end, but we will need to wait until the next mission at ~6:00pm CDT to see if the circulation is truly tightening, which would be a strong indicator....

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 03:44 PM

https://tenor.com/view/arresteddevelopment-its-happening-michael-cera-realization-gif-5420046

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 05:15 PM

4pm forecast has 60mph at landfall. we might squeeze in a hurricane yet

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 23-Jul-20 05:21 PM

Looks like one of those sprawling monsoon trough depressions. Incredibly impressive but just gotta work on core a lil before it starts exploding... good thing it doesn't have much time

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 05:22 PM

she's have about 48 hours before landfall. with an RI of 1.3kt/hr she could make it to 90kts. but that would be on the high-end of RI rates (harvey). WISC microwave data still not workign so i have nothing to compare to (edited)

found the UCAR ships data. 25kts/24hrs is at 22% which OK but not great. logistical models are showing some warning signals for RI at 48% for 25/24 and 41% of 55/48

so ships is giving it a 2-4* odds of normal for RI, which is pretty good

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 23-Jul-20 05:40 PM

Gonna be ironic if Hanna is our first hurricane instead of Gonzalo but could definitely see it if the core consolidates, upper level environment seems to be phenomenal

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 06:03 PM

The uppers levels are amazing. Moisture is great. Near zero shear. All that's needed is time for this baby. If anything was gonna oops into a hurricane this year it would be this thing

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 23-Jul-20 07:30 PM

It’s not an eye but thats some feature (edited)

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 10:13 PM

I don't understand how this is not a TS yet, but recon does show pressure steadily falling, curious to see what the next couple of passes show.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 23-Jul-20 10:17 PM

South Texas has the most corona hospitalizations in the country. And they are about to get flooded out (edited)

2

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 10:39 PM

Starting to see some stronger winds on Recon now

Matthew Harding (Wichita, KS) 23-Jul-20 10:39 PM

I think they can handle 4-6” of rain. It’s not Harvey for crying out loud.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 10:40 PM

The question is whether or not these winds are also down at the surface, they may be lagging behind a bit. (edited)

Either way we will have Hanna before the night is through (edited)

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 23-Jul-20 10:47 PM

SFMR had two 35 knot readings so probably are

Also I believe a buoy has 32kts sustained near there

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 10:49 PM

The NE quadrant is ramping up quickly, there are a lot more green barbs this pass where there used to be blue barbs. (edited)

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 23-Jul-20 10:57 PM

We now have Tropical Storm Hanna.

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 23-Jul-20 10:58 PM

https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1286495832825454592?s=20

National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic)

Tropical Storm #Hanna Advisory 5: Air Force Hurricane Hunters Find That the Gulf Depression Has Strengthened Into Tropical Storm Hanna. Tropical Storm Warning Extended Southward. https://t.co/VqHn0u1vgc

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 10:59 PM

I am just curious as to why the NE quadrant is strengthening so rapidly

2

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 23-Jul-20 11:01 PM

5

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 23-Jul-20 11:11 PM

OOOF

Tropical Storm Hanna is the earliest 8th storm on record. The previous record was in 2005 when Harvey formed on August 3rd.

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 23-Jul-20 11:13 PM

Would anyone be surprised it tries to make an aim for Hurricane status at landfall?

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 23-Jul-20 11:13 PM

Not at all

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 11:13 PM

I mean it's got two days

Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 23-Jul-20 11:14 PM

It'll be a decent tropical storm, but I don't expect a hurricane at landfall

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 23-Jul-20 11:14 PM

Pretty much has nothing in the way of intensification, time is a big constraint though

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 23-Jul-20 11:15 PM

I can see a Cat 1 or low end Cat 2 on landfall depending if it RIs or not

Cat 1 is definitely possible.

If you ask me it could make landfall as an 80 mph C1

Just my guess though

TJ (Houston/Galveston TX) 23-Jul-20 11:24 PM

Galveston floods after 1 inch of rain, but even after Harvey, most of the flooded roads cleared in a few hours. Inland bayous are screwed after 4 inches....but that flooding happens anytime we get a freak summer thunderstorm

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 23-Jul-20 11:46 PM

The only thing against it right now is time

As well the unknown of its forward speed

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 24-Jul-20 12:05 AM

What are we looking at in terms of storm surge from Hanna?

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 12:28 AM

Probably minimal to moderate, it is an average sized system but the winds are low in most areas and the area of TS winds currently has a rather small fetch, there is also the factor that it probably won't have time to build up a huge surge. Still could be large enough to impact low lying areas by the coast, around 4-6ft of surge is what I would guess, but I am not an expert. (edited)

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 06:47 AM

Hanna has had a pretty massive blowup over the past couple hours

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 24-Jul-20 07:40 AM

There was a buoy that gusted over 50 and apparently hurricane hunters that gathered gusts over 50 as well so this might be bumped to 50 in the intermediate advisory

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:23 AM

Surprised she didn't get stronger overnight. looks like there was some shear from the N that was not forecast, and mid levels were a little drier than expected

Those should both slow down her potential RI for a little

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:33 AM

IDK dude, given the current convective action I can still see an RI happening, just with a delayed start

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:33 AM

Nhc looking at 4-8" with isolated 12". That area is much drier than the last time they got a storm. So runoff will be unpredictable

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:33 AM

Lots of pinks currently

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:34 AM

Yeah she's trying to RI. But it's a fight. I thought she would be 60kts by this morning if we had a good RI.

Maybe tonight. She should take a break during the day

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:46 AM

According to the NHC's discussion they are being a bit on the conservative side until they have data Recon later this morning, it very well may be a moderate to strong TS currently. (edited)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:48 AM

this morning's SHIPS was not impressive. 36% of 25mb/24hrs was the best output. down from last night. and no higher numbers. the models are pulling back a little until it gets a better fit. the core being a mess is the issue

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:49 AM

Recon should give us a better picture, but I wouldn't be surprised if it turns out to be 50 kts

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 08:53 AM

You can see a ship reporting 45-50 kts wind near the center

Pretty impressive if that’s the case

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:55 AM

There ya go

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:55 AM

its ugly on IR, but look at teh fresh visibles coming in and she's a pretty mofo

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 08:56 AM

Recon's pass of the NE quadrant should be interesting

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:56 AM

reminds me of a SE asian TS taht goes from wave to 60kts overnight

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 09:01 AM

The shear appears to be from a stationary front in the Eastern US, though the front is decaying steadily and shear should relax a bit, it's doing well given the conditions, imho. (edited)

I've seen a lot sloppier stuff in the gulf at this time of year

GFS is being derpy and strengthens it significantly after landfall

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 09:06 AM

the GFS is doing that because of the baroclinic instability of a storm makign a sudden run up to 6000 ft elevation /w 5000+ cape surrounding it. it's turning it into a hyrbird MCS as it destroys itself over the mountains

another reason why GFS its great for pathing ensembles, not so great for intensity forecasts

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:23 AM

The Overseas Houston is reporting a solid 35 kts but it is a bit away from the center. The Pacific Sharav is closer to the center but got no report from it. (edited)

Needless to say the windfield is expanding

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:27 AM

satellite presentatin looking better. starting to wrap around north. raw t of 3.5

if i can complete a band aroudn the center, it will have a great shot at RI tonight

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:29 AM

That aligns with the ship report of gale force winds reaching farther north from the center of the storm. (edited)

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:46 AM

Down to 999 mb on Recon (edited)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:55 AM

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/sfcplots/sfcplot_08L_latest.png That's some wind barb. lol.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:56 AM

Recon hitting some stronger winds

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 10:57 AM

Ship just to SE of center has 51kts sustained

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:57 AM

45 kt and 999 mb if this is correct.

@Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) I can see that since it's smack dab in the middle of the sector with the most convection, recon should sample that area.

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 10:58 AM

Nhc went 45 mph for the advisory

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:59 AM

The Pacific Sharav reporting 48 kts north of the center (edited)

I know the NHC is playing it conservatively but ship and recon reports support more than 45 mph

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 11:03 AM

Apparently the ship reports are from nearly 100 meters above the surface

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 11:04 AM

That's still really close to the surface

This is probably a good 50 mph at least (edited)

Recon SFMR estimates 46 kts at the surface on the pass of the eastern quadrant.

The two ship reports, even if somewhat elevated, support this.

Recon is also showing a rapidly expanding windfield, which could become a cause for surge concern if it does become a hurricane. I'm still not expecting anything crazy or historic, but still enough surge might be possible from this to cause notable impacts if it does reach C1 intensity. (edited)

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 11:23 AM

Sheesh

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 11:38 AM

Hot towers all over Hanna

Won't be surprised if this is 60 mph by tonight

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 12:53 PM

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/735688881713709056/736263297795358761/goes16_vis_08L_202007241637_lat27.png

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 12:53 PM

Looks like it is forming more distinct banding features now

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 24-Jul-20 12:53 PM

The likely bullish HWRF and HMON still suggesting RI possible early tomorrow morning before landfall

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 12:54 PM

To be fair the GFS is also

So is the CMC

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 12:54 PM

This is a really big storm in a boiling GOM

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 24-Jul-20 12:55 PM

Yeah it's definitely possible but they trying to go all the way to Cat 2

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 12:55 PM

Potential mid-level eye feature evident via microwave imagery but also could be some dry-air, although northern side is trying to wrap up now

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 24-Jul-20 01:19 PM

3

Definitely looks like an eye like feature

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 01:43 PM

Hanna down to 999mb and 50 mph

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 01:46 PM

+50kts in 24 hours is totally possible. unlikely but possible. again this thing would have to pull a harvey, and the ships models that NAILED harvey aren't showing much (edited)

raw t of 3.7. could be a hurricane by tonight

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 01:51 PM

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/670459451974615060/736279079061422110/descarga.gif

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 02:08 PM

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1286723375679909894?s=19

Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue)

Updated ECMWF 12z intensifies Hanna to a Category 1 hurricane at landfall Saturday afternoon.

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 04:48 PM

It just dawned on me how crazy the cloud tops are going on Hanna lol

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 04:48 PM

https://twitter.com/reedtimmeraccu/status/1286761573818802181?s=21

Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu)

Unfortunately I have to back out of chasing Tropical Storm Hanna. Rib injury from bike crash and poor road network south of Corpus are the issues. Resting for peak season

Likes

155

6

Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 24-Jul-20 04:49 PM

Hana is turning the water down here int he gulf so murky. Ruining my snorkeling.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 04:50 PM

Not shocking considering this is a megachonker of a storm

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 04:50 PM

Wasn't Chantal a chonker as well

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 04:51 PM

Hurricane Warnings for Texas

65kt peak

Matthew Harding (Wichita, KS) 24-Jul-20 04:54 PM

Stewart going “full send” on the new advisory.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 05:04 PM

3

4

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 05:42 PM

https://twitter.com/weathergeek312/status/1286778362913009666

Joe Russell (@weathergeek312)

Most recent Microwave imaging shows #Hanna has almost completely surrounded its center of circulation with convection. If it can complete that sooner rather then later it has the potential to 'overachive' current NHC wind forecasts. https://t.co/t9SMkq1DKi

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 05:45 PM

https://twitter.com/TARCweather/status/1286776213239988225

Met. Eclipse (@TARCweather)

Microwave imagery verifies what we been seeing all day today on the IR and VIS satellites for Tropical

Storm #Hanna. An inner core of strong convection wrapped around the center of circulation has developed. #HurricaneSeason2020

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 24-Jul-20 06:04 PM

Hanna really does have nice structure.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 06:36 PM

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 06:36 PM

Definitely looks up to no good

NW quad filling in too maybe

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 24-Jul-20 06:39 PM

Probably will fill in a bit more. But it's running out of time.

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 06:40 PM

If this had two more days instead of one over the open Gulf with that impressive outflow pattern.... yikes

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 24-Jul-20 06:41 PM

Yeah. Would not be a pretty sight.

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 06:43 PM

CoC is surrounded by those overshooting tops

Hanna STILL has ~18-21 hours left 'till landfall

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 24-Jul-20 06:50 PM

https://twitter.com/reedtimmeraccu/status/1286795643399413762?s=21

Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu)

Change of plans! I am in-route to intercept a potential HURRICANE HANNA making landfall tomorrow midday near Corpus. Make preparations in and around hurricane warning area and heed evacuation orders @RadarOmega_WX

5

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 24-Jul-20 06:53 PM

First word of hurricane and Reed instantly changed his mind

6

4

5

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 07:12 PM

Really the only thing that is preventing this from being really strong at landfall is that it doesn't have that much time left over water

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 07:17 PM

That's the current pwet. 3" over the entire area. RI chances going up fast

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 07:23 PM

https://twitter.com/POP_Tshirts/status/1286802732033212416

Pop Tees (@POP_Tshirts)

This looks familiar. Fill up! #Hanna #ingleside #corpus #HurricaneHanna

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/670459451974615060/736363047404306512/image0.gif

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 07:25 PM

RI odds as of noon were looking good for 25 it's before landfall. So 45+25=70kts at landfall

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 24-Jul-20 07:26 PM

Seems to be lining up what the NHC is seeing @Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 07:27 PM

Odds of 40/24 were no joke. So figure top end would be 85kts. If it goes full on crazy like Harvey

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 24-Jul-20 07:27 PM

Harvey was pretty nuts though but then again we are in 2020.

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 07:29 PM

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 07:38 PM

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 08:00 PM

If it completes that ring by tonight, it’s ready for takeoff

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:01 PM

Before you die, you see...the ring.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:10 PM

There is nothing but high quality oceantic heat content under it until landfall. Some of the best in the gulf.

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 24-Jul-20 08:12 PM

https://twitter.com/TheWeatherMastr/status/1286815367013244928?s=19

Frank's Weather (@TheWeatherMastr)

Update to this tweet. It actually appears the Hurricane Hunters have gone to assist in a search and rescue which explains their low flight level. https://t.co/nyeVwTjYqx

4

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 08:20 PM

Those convective bursts are wasting no time firing

This is near DMIN as well

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 08:22 PM

Those towers are getting nutso, this is getting an absolutely classic look; might bomb out at landfall

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 08:23 PM

https://twitter.com/WeatherGarrett/status/1286818375520354307

Garrett Harvey (@WeatherGarrett)

Things are starting to get much more intense in #Hanna... A buoy is now recording a sustained wind of 54 MPH and a gust of 63 MPH!

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:26 PM

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.5 / 987.8mb/ 55.0kt

It's a borderline hurricane based on satcon

This girl is not to be underestimated. We could easily see a cat 2 come morning

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 08:31 PM

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1286821138727936000

NWS Houston (@NWSHouston)

Here are the highest wind gusts from across our area over the past 6 hours. #houwx #txwx #glswx #Hanna

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 08:32 PM

Could evolve similarly to Alex 2010, though probably a bit weaker

TJ (Houston/Galveston TX) 24-Jul-20 08:33 PM

I'm in Galveston, my trees are barely moving.... guess our house is sheltered from the gusts

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 08:35 PM

CB's rotating around it now

https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1286821407217856513

Scot Pilie' (@ScotPilie_Wx)

Whew. Tropical Storm #Hanna may be poised for a period of more rapid strengthening as it heads towards landfall in south-central Texas. Thankfully, only has another 12-18 hours over water. Hot towers erupting around a developing eye wall...could be the real deal.

7

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 08:40 PM

This thing is bombing out and recon isn’t there to observe it

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 24-Jul-20 08:40 PM

i mean, it can't really become a cat 3 hurricane in 12 hours can it

it happened before but that's only in rare cases

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 08:41 PM

Cat 3 is pushing it

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 24-Jul-20 08:41 PM

idk

but Harvey did undergo RI but this is much closer to land

also the forward speed might play a role in its intensity for landfall

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 08:42 PM

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 24-Jul-20 08:42 PM

I would imagine it being unlikely but if it begins to crawl near landfall, we might certainly have a problem

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 08:42 PM

63 mph gusts north of the COC

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 08:42 PM

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Claudette_(2003) this is somewhat it maybe like (edited)

Hurricane Claudette (2003)

Hurricane Claudette was the third tropical storm and first hurricane of the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season. A fairly long-lived July Atlantic hurricane, Claudette began as a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean. It moved quickly westward, brushing past the Yucatán Peninsula ...

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 24-Jul-20 08:43 PM

Probably cat 2, cat 3 is pushing it and cat 4 is.. impossible Also if it stalls on landfall we might have a disaster at hands. (edited)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:45 PM

The stronger it gets the slower it will go. Upper levels will slow it down more if it grows. It could stall out just inland

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 08:45 PM

Another example of a low end Hurricane intensifying right before land in Texas

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Humberto_(2007)

Hurricane Humberto (2007)

Hurricane Humberto was a Category 1 hurricane that formed and intensified faster than any other North Atlantic tropical cyclone on record, before landfall. Developing on September 12, 2007, in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, the tropical cyclone rapidly strengthened and struc...

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 24-Jul-20 08:46 PM

hm, i wouldn't say it's impossible, but i mean.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 08:46 PM

60/12 is possible but unlikely so cat 3 is out. 45/24 is totally in the ballpark (edited)

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 24-Jul-20 08:46 PM

cat 3 is impossible

there's no real way a cyclone can intensify that fast, unless if its fucking september, and rn its not

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 24-Jul-20 08:52 PM

ATCF says 996/50 kts (edited)

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 09:03 PM

Wonder if they'll throw in a short notice recon mission or two with this tryna RI at the coast

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 09:07 PM

Looks like Recon may try to get 1 or 2 passes in

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 09:11 PM

59 mph sustained winds and 69 mph wind gusts off a buoy

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 09:15 PM

I believe that ob is from a Oil Rig, not a bouy

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 09:16 PM

Hurricane by 06z?

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 24-Jul-20 09:17 PM

idk can it undergo RI that soon

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 09:18 PM

Recon finding pressure still dropping looks like

Last 3 hours or so, structure just keeps improving

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 09:27 PM

Recon finding 72 knots flight level

Quite impressive

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 09:28 PM

This likely a hurricane right now

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 09:28 PM

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 24-Jul-20 09:29 PM

I just hope that we get a recon flight over night after this recon flight leaves

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 09:32 PM

I wouldn’t say it’s a hurricane yet

Don’t think they have mixed to surface currently

But it’ll be very soon

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 09:32 PM

It's within 5-10 kts of a hurricane if it isn't already

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 09:32 PM

SFMR around 45 kts yet

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 24-Jul-20 09:34 PM

Nice image of Hanna

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrWAuzD4ZSY&feature=youtu.be

Tropical Tidbits

Hanna Strengthening on Approach to Texas; Hurricane Douglas Threate...

Website: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ Support Tropical Tidbits on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=651594 Please note that these posts do NOT necessarily reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be interpreted as such. Wh...

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 09:38 PM

992 mb extrap 52 knots SFMR peak

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 09:54 PM

https://twitter.com/WXgage/status/1286841758777774080

Gage Shaw (@WXgage)

It’s time to kick this RI cycle into... #Hanna

4

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 09:57 PM

Center Dropsonde has 993 mb

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 24-Jul-20 10:04 PM

Intensifying at a good tick

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 24-Jul-20 10:10 PM

25 mile wide eye per recon

Open to the west

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 24-Jul-20 10:11 PM

Man that thing is going rn

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:14 PM

buoy recording around 65kt wind gusts

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 10:15 PM

Haven't checked on Hanna in a while and WOW she is wrapping up quickly

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:16 PM

A buoy also reported 50-55 kts quite a bit aways from the center too.

This is looking more likely to landfall as a hurricane.

Same buoy now reporting 55-60 kts

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:22 PM

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1286848733104275456

Philippe Papin (@pppapin)

One other comment. The most recent Vortex Data Message (#VDM) sent by @NOAA_HurrHunter in their #Hanna center fix also showed improved structural organization. They reported a formative circular eyewall, though still open to the west.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:24 PM

SFMR and Sonde drop 4 supports 50-55 knots as well.

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 24-Jul-20 10:25 PM

Saw someone on TWC mention a 59 mph measurement on one of their sensoring tools

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:33 PM

4

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:34 PM

brrrrrrrr

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:34 PM

Those are some hot fucking towers Jesus. I haven't seen pink that far north since Michael

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:35 PM

Yeah, I'm not ready for DMAX

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:35 PM

What time Is DMAX again?

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:35 PM

Around 5-7am

Sunrise basically

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:35 PM

Epic

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 10:38 PM

Cloud tops like a damn WPAC storm

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:38 PM

more convective bursts on the SE side

^and near the CoC

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 10:39 PM

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 24-Jul-20 10:40 PM

Zachary S (Jasper, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:41 PM

Almost in the 980s already jeez

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:45 PM

976 still well in reach (edited)

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 24-Jul-20 10:46 PM

Honestly at this rate we could very possibly make a run for Cat 2

If it keeps going all night like this

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:46 PM

Still have 12+ hours

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:46 PM

Hwrf, HMON and ships all said 970s and cat 1/2 yesterday. Guidance wasn't crazy after all

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 24-Jul-20 10:47 PM

Only good news is this didn't get it's act together earlier

If this would have pulled this last night we'd have probs be looking at yet another RI into a major hurricane system (edited)

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 10:49 PM

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT HANNA IS STRENGTHENING... ...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE TOMORROW IN SOUTHERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 94.8W ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM ENE OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES

This is not giving up

I expect the 980s in several hours

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 24-Jul-20 10:49 PM

The Hurricane Warning has been extended southward to Port Mansfield Texas. The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward to High Island Texas. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning north of Barra el Mezquital to the Mouth of Rio Grande.

They still only have peak as 75

That is very conservative considering

"The peak intensity could be higher than what is shown in the intensity forecast below since landfall is expected to occur between the 12 and 24 h forecast times"

Ahh

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 10:54 PM

So expect a 15kt possible error just like Harvey

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 10:58 PM

It doesn’t have enough time to get as strong as Harvey

Though this seems to me like a preview for the rest of the season.

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 24-Jul-20 11:00 PM

Anybody chasing this thing, or will I be the only eyes and ears for the group? I only chase H storms that hit Texas. Was coincidentally in Houston for the first week of Harvey. Driving to Corpus now, to my parents beach house on north Padre Island. Should be a fun weekend!

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 24-Jul-20 11:01 PM

Chasing hurricanes doesn't interest me unless there's mini sups or something

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 24-Jul-20 11:02 PM

I think most hurricane chasers are scrambling to position themselves currently, Hanna kinda just popped up into a cane from nowhere.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 11:03 PM

South Texas is coronavirus central. Wear a mask.

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 24-Jul-20 11:04 PM

Oh don't get me wrong id chase a sup on the plains over any hurricane, but 8 can also help my dad baton down tomorrow morning, and chasing this spring sucked.

Will do, DFW is a mess too so I've been wearing my mask diligently since March anyways.

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 24-Jul-20 11:08 PM

I just dk what I'd be chasing for lol

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 24-Jul-20 11:21 PM

https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1286863964534530051

Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack)

So....has anyone thought of the implications of #Hanna making landfall nesr the #SpaceX facility in coastal Texas?

One of my Patreon supporters from FL reminded me of this....

3

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 24-Jul-20 11:27 PM

They'll be battening down the hatches

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 24-Jul-20 11:28 PM

Thought I'd put this here, considering it's a pretty significant detail in the wrong channel

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 11:29 PM

I didn't realize I was LMAO

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 11:33 PM

Ok let's take bets. What's the landfall pressure

Low end models say 985. Hwrf says 975. We got a NAM at 965. "Don't use nam for hurricanes" they said. Then it nailed Dorian's pressure and track. So it earned a spot.

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 11:35 PM

970mb

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 24-Jul-20 11:42 PM

ill bet later tonight when I get to look at models again

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 24-Jul-20 11:43 PM

Lightning on the SE quadrant still. This girl gonna be a beast by morning

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 24-Jul-20 11:56 PM

Convection is becoming cooler on the SE quadrant

Royce, I'm actually nervous now

https://tenor.com/view/spongebob-squarepants-spongebob-nail-bite-nervous-afraid-gif-3572009

nail biter

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:01 AM

So they decided to take it up to 60 kts? Based on what exactly? Really impressive tho. (edited)

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 12:10 AM

55 knots rounds up to 65 mph, based on 70+ knot flight-level winds and 51 knot SFMR, according to NHC discussion

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:10 AM

Sorry I was looking at gusts, yeah it's 55 kts

Wonder how it's gonna look in the future since it is already 5kts higher than previous model initialization (edited)

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 12:13 AM

None of the models on that intensity guidance are really that good, from what I’ve seen the HWRF and HMON have been the closest (I think) which is concerning

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:15 AM

A run to Cat 2 is definitely possible, especially since it's projected to stay over water longer now

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 25-Jul-20 12:16 AM

Anyone know when next recon is?

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 12:17 AM

Almost finished wrapping the deepest convection all around the CoC

red circles denote newer and more intense convective bursts

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 12:22 AM

https://tenor.com/view/bwah-scared-shocked-surprised-king-of-the-hill-gif-5547828

scared

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 12:47 AM

https://images-ext-2.discordapp.net/external/wYH1FBQjKO_xy6v5LgPVAvcrEMWX5FP2xdmve2WM4Tw/%3Fwidth%3D640%26height%3D462/https/media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/736443347928875028/image0.jpg

It’s trying

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:48 AM

Curious to see how it will look on visible tomorrow morning

Windspeed in kts, one ship reporting 35 kts a ways NW of the center indicating a continously expanding windfield

The ship was previously reporting 30 kts

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 01:29 AM

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 01:36 AM

Recon won’t be out again until tomorrow morning, raw t # from the Dvorak is 4.1

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 01:37 AM

About 6am CDT they’ll be heading back in

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 01:38 AM

Yeah, intermediate will remain at 55 knots, down to 991mb

May very well be trying to clear out an eye over the past hour or so (edited)

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 01:52 AM

Certainly looks like the convection ring is complete

May very well be trying to clear out an eye over the past hour or so

@Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) yeah, a feature appearing on shortwave and longwave ir

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:18 AM

This is now a mega chonker

OH LAWD HE COMIN

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 02:19 AM

Band of hot towers forming

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 02:27 AM

This is probably a Cat 1 by now

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 02:35 AM

Hot tower band becoming more solid.

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 25-Jul-20 02:39 AM

https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1/status/1286912906353938432?s=19

Jeff Lindner (@JeffLindner1)

Elevated oil platform KHHV gusting to 64mph #hanna #txwx

Got some 64mph gust on a rig. Here's the location on Google Maps.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:47 AM

Got about 12-18 hours or so left (edited)

https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1286915853741625344

Craig Ceecee (@CC_StormWatch)

#Hanna has clearly developed an eye on satellite imagery. Once the Hurricane Hunters arrive this morning, it is likely they will find #HurricaneHanna. Notice it also moving more southwest - well south of the forecast track. #TXwx #RGVwx https://t.co/qUJYj37KWP

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 02:49 AM

Watch it just say SIIIIKEEE and do a loop to give itsself more time to intensify

Peter Potvin (Pembroke, ON) ✱ 25-Jul-20 02:50 AM

Watch it be another Dorian

Literally sit in the same place for one day

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:50 AM

60kt/988

Via Tropical tidbits and stuff

Flirting Hurricane status like the ultimate troll

Peter Potvin (Pembroke, ON) ✱ 25-Jul-20 02:51 AM

And I just realized: the track shows it going right over the Corpus Christi WFO. Gonna be interesting to see what they end up doing when it gets close.

Sasha (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 02:51 AM

Plot twist, Hanna is a Hurricane Outbreak player and is maxing out the left turn and reducing speed as much as possible

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 03:17 AM

Fanning out

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 03:29 AM

https://twitter.com/AlexLubbers2/status/1286926291455770625

Alex Lubbers (@AlexLubbers2)

Wow, the HWRF forecasted the current look of #Hanna really well.

That same run....... yeah

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 03:31 AM

Hot towers forming near the center now

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 03:35 AM

HRRR calling for 70+ mph winds @ 10m at landfall (edited)

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 03:38 AM

https://twitter.com/derekortt/status/1286925655842660353

Derek Ortt (@DerekOrtt)

We are seeing a normal, steady intensification process where the pressure is falling by about .5-1 mb/h. We are also seeing an eye forming. Hanna would not be intensifying like this is dry air was being entrained into the center. See Georges in 1998 for a real dry air intrusi...

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 03:42 AM

Not particularly familiar with how different models perform with hurricanes, but nam3k has 130mph at 850mb (edited)

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 25-Jul-20 03:58 AM

Hot towers are obscuring the eye but its there

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 04:38 AM

Your mistake is going to the NAM for a hurricane intensity forecast. (edited)

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 25-Jul-20 04:47 AM

NHC now peaks her at 80mph

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 04:52 AM

"her" lol, guess they will pull the trigger if the hurricane hunters find hurricane force winds

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 05:00 AM

They likely will.

Anyone know when the hurricane hunters are going out?

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 25-Jul-20 05:12 AM

Iirc in 45 mins

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 06:03 AM

Hanna looks kinda ragged currently, but it's probably just it shedding hot tower anvils.

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 06:10 AM

I'm just gonna wait and see what daylight reveals on satellite

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 06:10 AM

Decent Surge on north Padre Island in Corpus. Winds gusting only to 35 right now.

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 06:11 AM

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 06:11 AM

Waves coming a foot up on the dunes already

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 06:17 AM

when is landfall expected

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 06:17 AM

7 PM

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 06:17 AM

bc

wants to go back to taped programming at 8pm ct

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 06:22 AM

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 07:53 AM

I would like to introduce to you

Hurricane Hanna

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 07:53 AM

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 25-Jul-20 07:53 AM

Hurricane?

Hurricane Hanna

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 07:54 AM

Yep

brrrrr

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 08:07 AM

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT08/refresh/AL0820WPCERO+gif/091152WPCERO_sm.gif

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 08:13 AM

Eye is 26 miles wide and closed per recon

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 09:25 AM

Dvorak:. CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 4.3 / 974.4mb/ 72.2kt

Convection is still leading pressure and wind by a few hours.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:27 AM

Recon data shows 981 though, I think recon is more reliable than Dvorak at this point still. Won't be surprised if it hits 70-75 kts eventually though.

Jaden L. (Topeka, KS) 25-Jul-20 09:27 AM

I’m gonna be very much interested in the miss piggy flight here in a few hours and see what measurements they get

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 09:37 AM

We would expect recon to trail Dvorak in a storm that is under RI. Convection leads pressure, pressure leads wind. So the dvoarky now is what could recon in 6-12 hours (edited)

So if we landfall at 975, that's a borderline cat 2.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:44 AM

Can someone explain to me why the flight level hurricane force winds are so far from the center?

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 09:45 AM

Eyewall is huge and hasn't tightened up yet. Think of it like a reserve transition to extra tropical

The storm hasn't had a chance to get the most intense storms near the eye, which will pull it In tighter (edited)

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 09:48 AM

981 mb dropsonde in the center at 12 knots of wind

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:49 AM

Yeah but the hurricane force winds at the surface would be closer to the eye I think? Seems to be opposite at flight level. Unless it's the same at both levels.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 09:52 AM

There is too much dry air mixing into the eye at this point to tighten up. As for the flight levels they should mix down proportional

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:53 AM

Eye popping out.

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 09:53 AM

That's just a dry spot

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:54 AM

sure

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 09:54 AM

Doesn't correspond to the actual eye position

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:54 AM

The eye is big, it likely is part of it.

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 09:55 AM

Actual eye is in the convective burst SE of that spot

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 09:56 AM

Dry air entrainment from N mex wi be much stronger than if this was in the Houston area. Once she taps it she will burn out fast, thankfully

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:57 AM

She's still gonna strengthen until landfall.

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 09:57 AM

...HANNA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST... NOAA buoy 42020 recently reported sustained winds of 56 mph (90 km/h) and a gust to 63 mph (101 km/h) near the southwest eyewall of Hanna at a height of 12 ft (3.7 m).

9 am update

Also 42020

7

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 25-Jul-20 09:58 AM

Slowed down a bit more

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 09:58 AM

Keep in mind that the shape of the Texas coast maybe help it as well

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 25-Jul-20 09:58 AM

Now 7mph

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 09:59 AM

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 09:59 AM

It's going to have more time over water if it slows down more and there's the weird baroclinic thing that models have been predicting which will help it strengthen. It might maintain strength inland a bit before rapidly decaying. The dry air over NM might help stop it from being a massive flooder but it's still set to keep strengthening steadily and bringing coastal impacts and inland wind impacts. (edited)

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:00 AM

The eye is pretty large, which should limit the maximum strength of it, unless it contracts

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:01 AM

I still won't be surprised if it caps out at 80 kts

It'll make a run for Cat 2 but likely doesn't have enough time and will fall just short.

2

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:03 AM

Maybe about to have a second recon plane in it

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:03 AM

Tides already 3.5 feet above normal at corpus. Lots of water loading going on.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:04 AM

Holy.....

What is the altitude?

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:05 AM

10000 ft

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:05 AM

Okay, pretty high up there then

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:05 AM

Mixed down to surface that's 90mph gusts

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:07 AM

Yeah I can believe that, again won't be surprised if it does cap out at 80 kts, more likely 70-75 though, depends on how much it slows down

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 10:15 AM

NOAA aircraft is done, idk what that air force craft is going to do lol

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 10:16 AM

It’s going into Hanna it looks like

Probably have continuous recon until landfall now

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 10:23 AM

hurricane hanna

go brrr

what category

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:24 AM

C1

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 10:25 AM

nice

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:30 AM

What is AF306 doing? lol

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:32 AM

Very intense storms on the SE side now. Once they make it to the NW side, that's the sign it's gonna ramp up

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 10:35 AM

Looks like it’s landing

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:38 AM

I wonder if there’s 2 eyewalls with these right now

It maybe me though

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:41 AM

totally possible that a new eyewall is forming inside of the outer bank, based on the intense storms forming around the eye, the tightening is occuring

SATCON: MSLP = 973 hPa MSW = 74 knots, DVORAK: CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 4.4 / 972.7mb/ 74.6kt

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:42 AM

The outer eyewall maybe the older, wider one and the inter one is the new eyewall forming (edited)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:42 AM

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/08L-2DWIND.GIF

Zack Fuller (Long Island, NY) 25-Jul-20 10:42 AM

gonna need to start a quick SW dip like NHC predicts if Corpus doesn’t wanna be in the eyewall

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:44 AM

notice the highest obs winds are actually outside of the red area. this is not a normal storm (yet) so its goofing up all the automated analysis

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 10:45 AM

80 mph 978 mb per the latest advisory

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:45 AM

Yeah that 34 kt radius is really generous, the 50 kt radius is the actual 34 kt radius

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:47 AM

yup, the storm is still not mature enough to get the winds out to the proper radii, if this had been in the gulf for another 1-2 days it would have a much larger more mature wind field

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:48 AM

We got all season for a storm to do that.

If anything this is a sneak peak for what may be to come.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:48 AM

this storm is behaving alot more like a WPAC system than an atlantic system, and most automated systems are built around atlantic analysis, so its rough on us

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:49 AM

Yeah, Atlantic systems tend to be neatly wrapped around the center while WPAC systems are broad.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:49 AM

this looks like somethign that randomly pops up off the coast of macau 3x a year

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:51 AM

I guess it’s a good thing that this has at most 9-12 more hours over water

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 10:51 AM

looks like there is some hail / graupel in the SE eye wall. signs of some serious hot towers

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 10:52 AM

I didn't think tropical systems produced hail?

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 10:58 AM

I believe that during a recon flight into Hugo, there was some hail.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 11:01 AM

there was a ton of hail in dorian. once storms get up to certain latitude they begin to produce small hail in the most intense updrafts

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 11:02 AM

Eye is clearing

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 11:03 AM

Although the deep-layer vertical wind shear is expected to remain out of the north-northwest to north at about 20 kt, the relatively large and stable eye, along with the expected convective vigor of the hurricane, could result in a little more strengthening just before landfall occurs.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 11:03 AM

i think taht may just be a shadow from the towers to the east

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 11:03 AM

Nhc discussion think only a little more strengthening

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 11:06 AM

Think time will really be the difference, but we'll see what happens

The aircraft measured a peak 700-mb flight-level wind speed of 77 kt, which equates to about 69 kt at the surface. During the past hour, Doppler velocities have sharply increased with numerous patches of 85-90 kt between 7000-8000 ft common in the northern eyewall. Although these values would typically correspond to surface winds of about 75 kt, the Doppler velocity are occurring in low reflectivity regions of 25-30 dBZ, so the full effect of those winds are likely not reaching the surface. This could be why the highest SFMR surface wind observed by the aircraft was only 63 kt. The initial intensity has been increased to 70 kt, which is a blend of the aircraft flight-level, radar, and SFMR surface wind speed estimates.

I thought SFMRs looked off

Zack Fuller (Long Island, NY) 25-Jul-20 11:08 AM

About to have first main band onshore

Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 25-Jul-20 11:09 AM

I'm impressed she made it to cat 1. Don't think we'll be seeing cat 2

Zack Fuller (Long Island, NY) 25-Jul-20 11:16 AM

Ngl, corpus not in a great position rn given that north and east eyewalls will likely push the most surge

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 11:18 AM

Next recon mission is en route

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 11:18 AM

Yeah that was weird, looked like 306 was gonna go out but then it landed, now 307 is going out

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 11:19 AM

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1287042466680467457

Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach)

#Hanna has intensified from 45 mph to 80 mph max winds in the past 24 hours - making it the first rapidly intensifying named storm of the 2020 Atlantic #hurricane season. Rapid intensification is typically defined to be >=35 mph intensification in 24 hours. https://t.co/jFno...

Officially met RI criteria, barely

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 11:46 AM

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1287044615846100993

Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits)

Buoy 42020 getting right into the eyewall of Hurricane #Hanna. This may be the best ground truth data we get until the next recon plane.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 12:04 PM

hot towers on the west side now. dead giveaway that its about to strengthen again (edited)

eye is finally poking out. tops warming over the center

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:11 PM

Stations on Padre Island and around Corpus Christi reporting 50 mph wind gusts.

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 12:15 PM

VAD at CC has 80kt winds at 10kt feet

that's well away from the eye wall, so those 120KT estimates in the eye wall at 10k feet were not a bad forecast. they just aren't mixign down well

now that the eye is closing up, i would expect some of those higher gusts to mix down to the surface. we might sneak in cat 2 just before landfall

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 12:25 PM

https://www.kiiitv.com/video/news/live_stream/hanna-coverage/503-ba0d72d5-55aa-40d2-8a88-b17b56895f48

3News coverage of Hurricane Hanna

This is live coverage of Hurricane Hanna as it moves closer to the Texas coast.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:31 PM

48 kt gust reported at Baffin Bay

45 kt gust in Corpus Christi

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 12:32 PM

Looks like Air Force recon finally on its way, would like to see NE to SW pass

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 12:33 PM

DVORAK: Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 4.4 4.4 6.1

6.1 WHAT

5

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 12:33 PM

wtf Dvorak

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 12:34 PM

The eye cleared out

That’s why

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 12:35 PM

thank god its making landfall now. we'd have a cat 4 in 24 hours if not

ships this morning said it had 33% chance of another 25kts in the next 24 hours (it doesn't factor in landfalls) so it def had room to go

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:40 PM

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 12:41 PM

Recon just tookoff from Keesler AFB

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:43 PM

59 kt gusts being reported at Corpus Christi pier

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 12:44 PM

hot towers moving around to SE side now. its about 4 hours to make a full loop. so we've got 1.5 loops of towers around the eye left before landfall. that's more than enough to solidify a solid eyewall

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 12:49 PM

ADT now has CI 4.5/971/77 and raw t # of 6.3 jesus

very glad this thing doesn't have another day over water

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 12:52 PM

Hanna showing her true colors now

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 12:52 PM

55 kt gust in Baffin Bay

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 12:52 PM

why is this still ts-hanna

im sorry i had to

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 12:53 PM

https://tar1090.adsbexchange.com/?icao=ae0258

tar1090

tar1090 - ADS-B plane tracking interface

If you want to track the position of the Air Force plane enroute to Hanna

2

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 12:56 PM

we'll have a cat 4 if this thing stays over water for another 24h

probably not tho, im not the best at tropical weather

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 01:14 PM

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 25-Jul-20 01:18 PM

She almost cleared out the eye. Quite impressive Cat1

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 01:22 PM

Radar showing 108 mph at 6k ft

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 01:28 PM

Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 4.4 4.9 6.6

Ed Tierney (Des Plaines, IL) 25-Jul-20 01:30 PM

I'm impressed she made it to cat 1. Don't think we'll be seeing cat 2

Is Hanna gonna make me eat my words?

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 01:33 PM

Recon is heading in so we will find out

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 01:34 PM

Reed is in position for eyewall rn (edited)

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 01:39 PM

For all I said about not seeing a reason to chase hurricanes, I'd love to see the view inside of a good eye once in my life

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 01:39 PM

Looks like we have our first TOR of Hanna

https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1287079744337395712

NWS Tornado (@NWStornado)

Tornado Warning including Woodsboro TX, Cranell TX until 1:00 PM CDT

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 01:41 PM

When a station live stream carries EAS messages

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 01:46 PM

Eyewall tightening. You can see towers building closer inside now

A few lightning strikes in the SE eyewall

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 01:48 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2P6NdZ6iBo

Reed Timmer

HURRICANE HANNA peak intensity North Padre Island Texas

‪HURRICANE HANNA peak intensity with front eye wall hammering North Padre Island with water rescue needed as storm surge advanced quickly. Dropping south to penetrate eye. Tracking eye wall live

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 01:54 PM

Peak intensity

Oh no

That is still coming

Peak intensity will be that band on the other side of the eye when it rotates ashore.

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 01:55 PM

Recon's in the eye most likely right now

https://tar1090.adsbexchange.com/?icao=ae0258

tar1090

tar1090 - ADS-B plane tracking interface

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 25-Jul-20 02:05 PM

72 knot SFMR

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:05 PM

Probs around 973mb

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 02:08 PM

Hwrf had 975mb best. Only NAM had it below 975. Go go NAM! Will it make 965?

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 02:08 PM

Turning around for another pass

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 02:08 PM

Believe the HWRF had 965 mb last night

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 02:09 PM

^You are correct

min. pressure is currently ~971mb via recon

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 02:10 PM

Well that’s extrapolated, probably a few millibars higher in reality

Will have a center drop here very soon

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 02:13 PM

ope

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 02:13 PM

sampling eyewall?

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 02:16 PM

Multiple 75 kts SFMR

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 02:16 PM

keep in mind that the NE eyewall is the weakest looking on radar

They maybe trying to avoid land and also mesovortices

https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1287089352028434434

Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone)

1:13 pm. Things picking up here in Riviera Beach #Texas. #Hurricane #HANNA https://t.co/DbyIRXHMtZ

Looks they are going to pass through the Southern eyewall in a couple of minutes

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 02:22 PM

976 mb center fix. Probably the actual pressure

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 02:24 PM

Ah yes, clearly this is Gonzalo related SPC.

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 02:38 PM

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:42 PM

ATCF now has Hanna up to 75kt

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADARS FINDS HANNA HAS STRENGTHENED... A TCOON observing station at Laguna Madre, Texas, recently reported a sustained wind of 63 mph (102 km/h) and a gust to 79 mph (128 km/h). Data from the Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the minimum central pressure inside the eye of Hanna is 973 mb (28.73 inches). SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.0N 96.8W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 02:58 PM

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 03:07 PM

Looks like recon is going to make a pass through the SE eyewall in next few minutes (edited)

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 03:07 PM

I think she's about maxed out. Convection isn't going as strong now.

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 03:16 PM

https://www.cctexas.com/services/general-government/bayfront-webcams

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:17 PM

https://twitter.com/alykatkentwx/status/1287104411513348097

Alexandra Kent (@alykatkentwx)

The marina in Indianola is on fire. Thanks to the viewer who sent these pictures in. #Hanna #Fire #BreakingNews https://t.co/ZkBqAe2suv

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 03:17 PM

tf

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:21 PM

Reed in the eyewqall

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:25 PM

Recon found two 81 kt SFMRs

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:25 PM

POwerline fell infront of reed, about hit his car

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:25 PM

Might be around 90mph now

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 03:26 PM

Not surprised at all if true, called it actually.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:27 PM

Trees going down, mobile homes damaged, stuff flying in the road

Distinct howling sound

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1287107723855888384

Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits)

Recon measurements in the strong SE eyewall of #Hanna indicate that the storm is approaching Category 2 intensity.

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:32 PM

Levi getting on board

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:33 PM

Debris covering the road

Looks like part of a wall of a mobile home got ripped out too

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 03:34 PM

80mph gusts will make quick work of a mobile home

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:39 PM

Some idiot outside of their van, holding onto the side because they about to get blown over :

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:39 PM

Very impressive dropsonde

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:41 PM

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1287109006490836992?s=20

Philippe Papin (@pppapin)

The @53rdWRS just completed a leg into the SE quadrent of #Hanna & found the highest SFMR winds thus far (81kt) & 83kt flight level winds at ~700-hPa. Near Cat 2 intensity. Unusual SE quad to have highest winds in W moving TC, but consistent w/ higher radar echos & winds the...

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 03:41 PM

Wouldn't take a lot to get those stronger winds to mix down

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 03:43 PM

maybe something like the convective burst that just started blowing up over the SE quad

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 03:45 PM

They are likely going to make an East to West pass

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:46 PM

That’s pretty much the only thing they haven’t sampled

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 25-Jul-20 03:46 PM

So have we officially had landfall yet or is Hanna just going super slow.

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 03:48 PM

Landfall still 3-4 hours away

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 03:52 PM

Yup dead eye of the center is the official

Plenty of time for winds to mix down to surface. 115kt max elevated winds minus 15% is near 95 kts. We could see up to high cat 2 if it mixed down

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 03:53 PM

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 03:53 PM

eye is starting to clear to some extent

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 25-Jul-20 03:56 PM

Getting an Outer band here in Houston.

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 04:01 PM

https://twitter.com/NWSBrownsville/status/1287112732911656960

NWS Brownsville (@NWSBrownsville)

Rincon Del San Jose observation (coastal Kenedy county in the Northern Laguna Madre) just gusted to 103 MPH in the western eyewall of #HurricaneHanna #RGVwx #txwx

7

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 04:02 PM

Minor damage at a mobile home park via Reed's livestream on FB

https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/videos/1536885813150891/ <- Link

Trees limbs being downed as well

Considerable roof damage to a metal building next to the park

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 04:03 PM

This smells like a cat 2. The satellite presentation is fixing up right

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:11 PM

Ethan T. (Notasulga, AL) 25-Jul-20 04:11 PM

969.6mb with a 20kt wind (edited)

If corrected, it would be ~967mb

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 25-Jul-20 04:13 PM

https://twitter.com/greg_weather/status/1287117143054508032?s=21

Greg's Weather 🚨 Gonzalo, Hanna, Douglas, 92L 🚨 (@greg_weather)

Yikes! 969 mb and not even at the center...

3

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 04:13 PM

Ended up at 969.2 mb at 9kts

Before pressure cut out

Its probably right at 969 mb extrap. Probably add a few since it is an extrap. Most likely around 971 mb

cricketkepler 25-Jul-20 04:17 PM

@Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) Looks a bit hexagonie, no?

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 04:18 PM

You know, now that you mention it...

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:20 PM

Reed at 977.5 mb

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 04:20 PM

Hexagons are a stable shape in large scale thermodynamics

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 04:21 PM

Is Reed live streaming on the highway?

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:22 PM

https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/status/1287097947369463813

Brian Emfinger (@brianemfinger)

The sand berm blocking the gulf on access road #4 just south of Whitecap Beach just got washed away! Water now pouring down onto Padre Island. #HurricaneHanna #txwx https://t.co/7Z0sEj6x48

Likes

151

He is

Max (Saint John, NB) 25-Jul-20 04:27 PM

its pulling a harvey

Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) 25-Jul-20 04:27 PM

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 04:27 PM

The south Texas coast will do that

Max (Saint John, NB) 25-Jul-20 04:28 PM

2 hours apart

completely stalled

@Ian J. (Palm Beach County, FL) you know what I mean man

2

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 04:30 PM

975 mb center dropsonde

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:32 PM

Reed down to 976 mb

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 04:33 PM

https://twitter.com/kiii3news/status/1287122830765830145

KIII 3 News (@kiii3news)

Downtown Corpus Christi. Credit: J. Cuellar.

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:40 PM

Déjà vu

Reed getting his strongest gusts yet

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 04:53 PM

Seems like the surge is pretty bad in parts of the Corpus Christi area

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 04:56 PM

Advisory is 90 mph and 973 mb

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 04:56 PM

Storm up to 90mph

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 04:59 PM

https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1287129123941502977

Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone)

3:54 pm. In the eyewall of #Hurricane #HANNA in Port Mansfield #Texas. https://t.co/qoIfAxAMcF

https://tenor.com/view/mrnotthatfamous-close-fingers-this-close-gif-5181181

To being a cat 2

Garrett (Hillsdale MI) 25-Jul-20 05:00 PM

They say they expect more strengthening prior to landfall

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 05:01 PM

We got 2 more hours to go before center is on land. At least

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 05:02 PM

Getting pretty fun already. I'm in a nice parking lot just off 77.

I'm in BFE in a hurricane and the cell service service is better than anywhere in North Texas

Josh Zitko(Cimarron, NM/STL, MO) 25-Jul-20 05:02 PM

It's stalled

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 05:02 PM

They expect? I see they say don’t expect

Jacob Melton (Owosso, MI) 25-Jul-20 05:02 PM

https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1287130607324209153

Scot Pilie' (@ScotPilie_Wx)

Storm surge entering businesses in North Beach in Corpus Christi, Texas. Typically 50 yards or more from the water, benches in camera 2 are 3ft high. Likely ~5ft surge.

Joey Garza, Pier 99 Restaurant @StormHour @HankAllenWX

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 05:03 PM

No further strengthening is anticipated before the center of Hanna's eye makes landfall along the south Texas coast in a few hours.

From the discussion

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 05:05 PM

Hanna, the storm that doesn't stop giving

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 05:09 PM

https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1287130607324209153

Scot Pilie' (@ScotPilie_Wx)

Storm surge entering businesses in North Beach in Corpus Christi, Texas. Typically 50 yards or more from the water, benches in camera 2 are 3ft high. Likely ~5ft surge.

Joey Garza, Pier 99 Restaurant @StormHour @HankAllenWX

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 05:32 PM

An 80 knot peak? Wow I actually called it.

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 05:35 PM

The eye of Hanna getting its act together on radar this hour.

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 05:37 PM

Noob question, but this is my first official hurricane chase. I'm about 90 minutes from the eye passing over, and it's a huge eye. What's the best way to find the best clearing within the eye?

Zach E (Lakeville, MN) 25-Jul-20 05:48 PM

Satellite imagery I guess but you kinda of just have to hope for the best

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 25-Jul-20 05:59 PM

The eye of Hurricane Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas, at 500 PM CDT (2200 UTC) about 15 miles (20 km) north of Port Mansfield, Texas, with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph

Landfall has occurred

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 06:00 PM

Finally!

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 06:10 PM

Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 4.2 4.6 5.4

The eye is back. Shes not done yet!

Lots of lightning just offshore in the east band. New hot tower trying to form over land! Just west of landfall

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 06:12 PM

when you say hot tower Royce, does that mean that particular squall has a lot of lightning?

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 06:12 PM

Hot tower refers to a very tall convective burst

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 06:13 PM

ah

ty

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 06:13 PM

Lightning is reserved for only the most explosive of bursts

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 06:13 PM

ok

Sean H(Houghton,MI) 25-Jul-20 06:14 PM

So high end cat1 at landfall. Impressive

Eric (Montreal, QC)🇨🇦 25-Jul-20 06:16 PM

niceee

Zach E (Lakeville, MN) 25-Jul-20 06:18 PM

looks like there is a lot of rotation in the eastern bands

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 06:19 PM

She's a beaut on visible

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 06:22 PM

Impressive presentation of Hanna on radar as well.

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 06:53 PM

Just got a 107mph gust, and sustained over 100 for about 30 seconds. I'm on the edge of the eyewall now. Should have the eye any minute now?

Matthew Harding (Wichita, KS) 25-Jul-20 07:07 PM

Holy crap! Enjoy the eye.

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 07:07 PM

SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 97.4W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM NNW OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

Parker Hughes (McKinney, Tx) 25-Jul-20 07:11 PM

https://twitter.com/leslieadami/status/1287151134671548416?s=21

Leslie Adami (@LeslieAdami)

From the @kiii3news Lex Cam. Just, wow. This is the #CorpusChristi Art Museum. Water crashing into what appears to be the 1st floor area.

Likes

140

B. Dean Berry (Pittsburgh PA) ✱ 25-Jul-20 07:13 PM

Do we really have to "wow, just wow" at a hurricane flooding a coast? That's just sort of what they do.

7

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 25-Jul-20 07:17 PM

Hurricanes are sensationalized so it's socially expected to act all shocked and horrified at everything they do while the same people don't give two shits when the entire Mississippi basin floods in spring. (edited)

4

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 07:20 PM

Hanna has not produced any tornado activity that I know of so far

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 25-Jul-20 07:22 PM

Hanna makes a second landfall

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 07:23 PM

just glad Hanna did not have another 18-24 hours over open waters

Ethan T [FBI] (Odessa, DE) 25-Jul-20 07:30 PM

Agreed

But for a C1, doesn’t look so bad

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 07:31 PM

agree

Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 25-Jul-20 08:06 PM

Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 4.6 5.1 5.1

Still not weakened

Jim Martin (Findlay, Ohio) 25-Jul-20 08:31 PM

40% chance for Tornado Watch

Nate O. (DFW - Wylie, Texas) 25-Jul-20 08:37 PM

Gusting to 60 in the eye of the storm. Should be a fun drive through the north eyewall to get back to the house. Fun storm!

5

Cameron (Fortson, GA) 25-Jul-20 09:25 PM

Holding on

TJ (Houston/Galveston TX) 25-Jul-20 09:40 PM

Ryan M. (Cincinnati, OH) 25-Jul-20 09:48 PM

god bless america

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 26-Jul-20 12:06 AM

https://twitter.com/nwstornado/status/1287237416193933312?s=21

NWS Tornado (@NWStornado)

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Texas until 9 AM CDT

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 26-Jul-20 12:33 AM

https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1287243377877155841?s=20

Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu)

NEW: Dominator Drone flight INSIDE the eye of Hurricane Hanna in Port Mansfield, Texas earlier today @RadarOmega_WX #Hanna #Hurricane https://t.co/nWBTim4TeK

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 26-Jul-20 04:35 PM

https://twitter.com/nhc_atlantic/status/1287486359523880960?s=21

National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic)

Tropical Depression #Hanna Advisory 16: Hanna Weakens to a Tropical Depression Over Northeastern Mexico. Heavy Rain and Dangerous Flash Flooding Continue Over Far Southeast Texas and Northeast Mexico. https://t.co/VqHn0u1vgc

Hanna now a depression

Hunter Hollman (York, PA) 26-Jul-20 04:45 PM

https://twitter.com/LibsInAmerica/status/1287485435153993728

LiA (@LibsInAmerica)

@realDonaldTrump @Yankees Timberrrr....there goes Trump’s Border wall. Hurricane Hannah must be part of the resistance. https://t.co/DpMu5iZ9Ev

Likes

110

4

Lol... this is gonna make headlines

Alex V (Wausau, WI) 26-Jul-20 08:21 PM

I'm sure that fence has been up long before Trump lol

Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 27-Jul-20 12:04 PM

Last advisory on Hanna was issued at 4am.

Blaine K. (Pocatello, ID) 27-Jul-20 12:19 PM

As a hurricane? Huh NHC gave up I guess.

3

Peter Potvin (Pembroke, ON) ✱ 27-Jul-20 05:48 PM

RIP Hanna

Archived.