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EVENT ARCHIVE / 05-02-2021_co_ks_ne
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Peter Potvin (Pembroke, ON) ✱ 02-May-21 10:48 AM
Categorical:
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Max Tornado Probability: 5%
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15% Wind + Hail
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Matthew Gaylor (OKC, OK) 02-May-21 10:51 AM
Colorado magic landspout today!
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Joey Prom (Lafayette, IN) 02-May-21 11:29 AM
I see LA got the L today
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Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 02-May-21 12:34 PM
Enhanced risk now
this 1
For damaging winds across eastern Colorado into central Kansas
this 1
MCS season starting early
Hatched on the winds too
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Joey Prom (Lafayette, IN) 02-May-21 01:05 PM
The forecast for tomorrow could change big time if we get some well placed OFBs
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Palmer (Weld County, CO) 02-May-21 03:30 PM
Reporting in from the CO scene. the northern section lined out early and gave us some good gusts, but the DCVS didn't play today
Still some chance for action along the Palmer Divide
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 03:43 PM
Good old ENH for wind. Is this July?
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Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 02-May-21 03:58 PM
My thoughts as well, don’t see this type of stuff until MCS seasons in July/August around here.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 05:16 PM
2500 cape in Omaha. No cin. But td gap is huge. Lots of drying at the surface. Angry CU field not gonna pop
N IA getting active. MCS will prob pop our cape cherry later here
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 05:49 PM
Cap broken over Nebraska. Isolated supercells maybe?
@Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) pre frontal storms firing now. A little early
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 06:14 PM
I’m excited to get some storms while at work.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 07:25 PM
Storms in Nebraska have gone severe for wind and hail
Below slight gonna go slight
Some tor risk along the front as it passes
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 08:04 PM
Some of the convection is not sustaining itself well, look like summer popcorn showers, however they are throwing an outflow boundary to the northwest that could come into play later as it’s headed to untouched areas.
KOAX - Super-Res Reflectivity Tilt 1 7:02 PM CDT Super-Res Velocity Tilt 1 7:03 PM CDT #newx #iawx
Attachment: animated.mov (172.02 KB)
Denoted here.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 08:18 PM
Pretty large hail signature north. West storms falling apart. Pulse cells without enough shear to keep from collapsing themselves. Front is late. Very late. Could be a big night for an MCS
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 08:19 PM
Yeah, there is going to be plenty juice left later for a strong MCS to move through.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 08:20 PM
Cape is holding over 2500. Zero cin still. SCP increasing
North storms turning right as cold pool builds behind. Gonna be a windy night
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 08:32 PM
Vad in Omaha is well curved but low speeds. Could support some hail and outflow dependent storms.
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 08:55 PM
Just as I said, that outflow boundary is firing now firing convection west of the first line.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 09:03 PM
Solid line of storm warnings from dodge city to western iowa
Storms near kearney have very intense convection with large hail and some mesos cycling
Storms are back building to the SW
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 09:17 PM
Hail storms cross the entire state. SPC upgrades to marginal
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 09:33 PM
Can’t wait for the trailing cold front to catch up to this convection. This convection has very little shear to work with and is barely moving.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 09:59 PM
Looks to be a meso low just west of omaha. Rap shows vort max in area
Storms holding VIL well.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 11:03 PM
Meanwhile in Nebraska:. Who called a landspout warning for today?
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Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 02-May-21 11:43 PM
https://twitter.com/iembot_ict/status/1389062727503515649?s=20
Author icon IEMBot ICT (@iembot_ict)
RUSSELL,KS (RSL) ASOS reports gust of 74 knots (85.2 mph) from WNW @ 0337Z -- KRSL 030337Z AUTO 29057G74KT 1 1/2SM +TSRA SQ FEW019 SCT027 BKN048 14/11 A2956 RMK AO2 PK WND 29074/0336 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB32 TSB37 P0008 T01390111 $
Footer icon Twitter • 02-May-21 11:42 PM
85 mph wind gust
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 11:43 PM
@Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) cold pool forming NW of omaha. inbounds now above severe limits. severe warning should probably be issued for NW omaha but they wont
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Pat Kepka (Russell Co. KS) 02-May-21 11:44 PM
A 2nd gust to 83 mph reported
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 11:45 PM
omaha area storm is showing a pretty clear rear inflow jet. def need a warning for SVR. could even be a QLCS forming
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 02-May-21 11:52 PM
Yeah.
That’s what it looks like to me.
You can see that low you were talking about in reflectivity too haha 😂
@Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE)
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 02-May-21 11:53 PM
valley is often guilty of waiting until the 55mph winds actually hit their tower until they issue a warming. or waiting for a QLCS tor to pass in visible sight before they drop a warning
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 03-May-21 12:33 AM
strong wind echos about to hit me. new trash in front with small hail popping up
derecho 1
@Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) totally quiet here. all wind motion is vertical in the updraft ahead of the gust front
new siding, new car, hopes for below golfballs
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 03-May-21 12:39 AM
Rain just starting here.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 03-May-21 12:40 AM
Solid roll of thunder.
Bright clouds to my SW. Def hail
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 03-May-21 12:41 AM
Cold front finally moving sheesh. That took forever. It’s been raining west of Omaha for 7 hours now 😂
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 03-May-21 12:42 AM
C2G now. Been too long since we had a good storm
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 03-May-21 12:51 AM
looks like the downdrafts never matured this far south. never got about 20mph. pretty light rain for the DBZ / VIL being put out
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Glen Heinz (Greenville, SC) 03-May-21 12:54 AM
Nice play by play guys.
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Royce Sheibal (Papillion,NE) 03-May-21 01:01 AM
2nd wave just it. the rear inflow jet and the downdraft came in. close to severe speeds. knocked some stuff over. a few pea-sized pellets (edited)
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Cody D. (Lincoln, NE - UNL) 03-May-21 01:04 AM
Some decently heavy rain, nothing compared to the insane rain rates we got Tuesday night with that MCS with embedded supes.
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